MIL +117 o9.0
CLE -127 u9.0
MIN +112 o9.0
BAL -121 u9.0
BOS -107 o8.5
DET -101 u8.5
CHW +182 o9.0
CIN -200 u9.0
STL +127 o8.0
PHI -138 u8.0
TB +119 o8.0
TOR -129 u8.0
PIT +215 o7.5
NYM -239 u7.5
WAS +187 o8.0
ATL -205 u8.0
MIA +222 o8.0
CHC -248 u8.0
COL +208 o8.5
TEX -231 u8.5
KC +121 o7.5
HOU -131 u7.5
NYY -137 o7.5
SEA +127 u7.5
LAA +191 o7.5
SD -211 u7.5
AZ -112 o7.5
SF +103 u7.5
ATH +176 o9.0
LAD -193 u9.0
NBC Bay Area, AT&T Sportsnet, MLBN

San Francisco @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

Jose Abreu
J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Abreu in today's matchup. Jose Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Jose Abreu has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days. Jose Abreu's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 80.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Abreu in today's matchup. Jose Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Jose Abreu has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days. Jose Abreu's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 80.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Michael Conforto
M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When considering his overall offensive prowess, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Minute Maid Park a good place for long-balls. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When considering his overall offensive prowess, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Minute Maid Park a good place for long-balls. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Tucker is predicted to be the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Logan Webb, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball hitters such as Kyle Tucker.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Tucker is predicted to be the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Logan Webb, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball hitters such as Kyle Tucker.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Yordan Alvarez
Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Yordan Alvarez will rank as the 4th-best hitter in MLB. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Minute Maid Park a good place for long-balls. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Yordan Alvarez will rank as the 4th-best hitter in MLB. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Minute Maid Park a good place for long-balls. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today.

David Villar Total Hits Props • San Francisco

David Villar
D. Villar
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. David Villar will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today. Extreme groundball batters like David Villar generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Comparing his seasonal 88.9-mph EV to his 94.8-mph average in the past week's games, David Villar's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times. David Villar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 21.2% on the season to 37.5% in the last 7 days.

David Villar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. David Villar will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today. Extreme groundball batters like David Villar generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Comparing his seasonal 88.9-mph EV to his 94.8-mph average in the past week's games, David Villar's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times. David Villar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 21.2% on the season to 37.5% in the last 7 days.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

Martin Maldonado
M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Wilmer Flores
W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Wilmer Flores will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Wilmer Flores, who uses extreme groundball hitters, typically has more success against pitchers like Framber Valdez, who tend to throw extreme flyballs.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Wilmer Flores will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Wilmer Flores, who uses extreme groundball hitters, typically has more success against pitchers like Framber Valdez, who tend to throw extreme flyballs.

Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston

Mauricio Dubon
M. Dubon
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average talent, Mauricio Dubon is ranked in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Mauricio Dubon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his batting average talent, Mauricio Dubon is ranked in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Mitch Haniger Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Mitch Haniger
M. Haniger
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Mitch Haniger in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Mitch Haniger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Mitch Haniger will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Mitch Haniger has been hot recently, putting up a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past 7 days.

Mitch Haniger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Mitch Haniger in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Mitch Haniger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Mitch Haniger will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Mitch Haniger has been hot recently, putting up a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past 7 days.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

Jeremy Pena
J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP captalent, Jeremy Pena is projected in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his BABIP captalent, Jeremy Pena is projected in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Alex Bregman generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Alex Bregman generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Joey Bart will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Joey Bart will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Thairo Estrada
T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Estimating Thairo Estrada's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 87th percentile. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Thairo Estrada will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Estimating Thairo Estrada's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 87th percentile. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Thairo Estrada will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

David Hensley Total Hits Props • Houston

David Hensley
D. Hensley
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

In terms of his BABIP ability, David Hensley ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. David Hensley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

David Hensley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In terms of his BABIP ability, David Hensley ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today. David Hensley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Austin Slater
A. Slater
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Slater as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Austin Slater as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast