Final Jul 4
BOS 11 -108 o8.0
WAS 2 +100 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 9 +135 o8.0
PHI 6 -147 u8.0
Final Jul 4
STL 3 +133 o9.5
CHC 11 -144 u9.5
Final Jul 4
NYY 5 -101 o9.5
NYM 6 -107 u9.5
Final Jul 4
TB 3 +107 o10.0
MIN 4 -116 u10.0
Final Jul 4
PIT 0 +157 o7.0
SEA 6 -171 u7.0
Final (10) Jul 4
TEX 2 -103 o8.0
SD 3 -105 u8.0
Final (10) Jul 4
LAA 3 +126 o9.0
TOR 4 -137 u9.0
Final Jul 4
DET 2 -115 o8.5
CLE 1 +107 u8.5
Final Jul 4
MIL 6 -134 o7.5
MIA 5 +123 u7.5
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 +164 o8.5
ATL 2 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 4
CHW 3 -116 o11.0
COL 2 +107 u11.0
Final Jul 4
HOU 18 +155 o9.0
LAD 1 -169 u9.0
Final Jul 4
KC 9 +102 o8.5
AZ 3 -110 u8.5
Final Jul 4
SF 2 -102 o10.0
ATH 11 -106 u10.0
MASN, MLBN, ATTP

Pittsburgh @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #30 ballpark in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park ranks as the #30 ballpark in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jack Suwinski
J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jack Suwinski has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jack Suwinski has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .418 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jack Suwinski has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jack Suwinski has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .418 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Connor Joe
C. Joe
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weatherman calls for the 4th-most humidity on the slate today at 75%. Connor Joe will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin today... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Connor Joe has been hot lately, cruising to a .415 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Connor Joe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weatherman calls for the 4th-most humidity on the slate today at 75%. Connor Joe will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin today... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Connor Joe has been hot lately, cruising to a .415 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Austin Hedges
A. Hedges
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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