Pittsburgh @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Rodolfo Castro's 95.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Rodolfo Castro has notched a .328 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage over Chad Kuhl today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jack Suwinski has a high pull rate on his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Carlos Santana has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Santana's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile. Carlos Santana has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.42 K/BB rate.

Alex Call is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage today. Alex Call is very fast, grading out in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.64 ft/sec this year.

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Jason Delay has posted a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball bats like CJ Abrams tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Rich Hill. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Andrew McCutchen has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .377 wOBA over the past two weeks. Andrew McCutchen has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 figure is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Connor Joe has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Keibert Ruiz in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage today. Keibert Ruiz is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season).

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Michael Chavis will hold the platoon advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Michael Chavis will hold the home field advantage today.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Rich Hill... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ji-Hwan Bae has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.