San Diego @ Chicago Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Matt Carpenter in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate. Matt Carpenter has been hot lately, batting his way to a .388 wOBA in the past 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Smyly today.

Nelson Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nelson Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today.

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth's 18.1° launch angle is among the highest in the game: 89th percentile. Jake Cronenworth has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), ranking in the 88th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Michael Wacha. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate.

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best batter in the league, per THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Juan Soto has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage today. Dansby Swanson has posted a .341 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Trey Mancini in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Trey Mancini is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Trey Mancini will possess the home field advantage today. Trey Mancini has been unlucky this year, notching a .276 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .056 difference.

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly today.

THE BAT X projects Eric Hosmer in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Eric Hosmer will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha today. Eric Hosmer has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Eric Hosmer will benefit from the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Nelson Velazquez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nelson Velazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Seiya Suzuki in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Seiya Suzuki will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Austin Nola will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today. Austin Nola has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 rate is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Austin Nola has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Yan Gomes in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Yan Gomes has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Yan Gomes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Jose Azocar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Azocar will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today.

Luis Torrens has not yet played a game this season.

Nico Hoerner has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.