Texas @ Cincinnati props

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-coldest temperature on the slate at 56°. Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage over Adolis Garcia today. Adolis Garcia has been lucky this year, posting a .357 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .029 deviation. Adolis Garcia has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile with a 5.01 K/BB rate.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 field in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Robbie Grossman has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Robbie Grossman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft. Robbie Grossman has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 21.1° figure is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (98th percentile).

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 field in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Sandy Leon has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 field in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jonah Heim has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Travis Jankowski has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 field in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today. Travis Jankowski has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Travis Jankowski has been hot in recent games, tallying a .385 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 field in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Brad Miller will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today. Brad Miller's 91.2-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in MLB since the start of last season: 89th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. Ezequiel Duran has put up a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Curt Casali has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Wil Myers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Spencer Steer has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Jake Fraley has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Newman has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jonathan India has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Henry Ramos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Stephenson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Marcus Semien has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nick Senzel has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Leody Taveras has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Stuart Fairchild has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.