MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 11, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 19th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 15th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Royce Lewis has experienced some negative variance given the .056 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Total Bases
Jimmy Crooks logo
Jimmy Crooks o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Jimmy Crooks is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have an edge today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ildemaro Vargas logo
Ildemaro Vargas u0.5 Total Hits (+168)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -14° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Tyler Phillips in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Owen Caissie logo
Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie as the 11th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Owen Caissie will have an advantage in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Owen Caissie has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Owen Caissie will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jun 11 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Projection 0.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #10 venue in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jun 11 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Ezequiel Tovar has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 16.9% on the season to 35% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jun 11 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (+112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Mitch Keller has been tagged for a .312/.389/.634 slash line against the Dodgers, and with LA southpaw Justin Wrobleski ranking in the 98th percentile in pitching run value at Baseball Savant, I’m more than comfortable laying the run line with the defending champs.
 

Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 53 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. PNC Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game.. Shohei Ohtani's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 50.9% on the season to 66.7% over the past two weeks.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jun 11 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Patrick Wisdom logo
Patrick Wisdom o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Patrick Wisdom as Major League Baseball's 6th-best home run hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Over the last 14 days, Patrick Wisdom has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 21.4% to 28.6%.. Patrick Wisdom has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 101.6-mph.
Total Bases
Sam Huff logo
Sam Huff u1.5 Total Bases (-350)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Sam Huff ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sam Huff is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sam Huff has been pinch hit for 37% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Sam Huff will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Based on Statcast metrics, Sam Huff grades out in the 5th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .198.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jun 11 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Anthony Kay in today's matchup.. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. In the past week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 18.2%.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The #7 field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers.. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.7-mph EV.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks

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