MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Thu, Jun 25 • 12:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Kansas City Royals logo Tampa Bay Rays logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Kansas City has seen the Over cash in five of their last six games overall. 

In this series vs the Rays, they've hit. 283 as a team and scored 17 runs in three games. They could do much of the heavy lifting and carry this line mostly themselves.

Moneyline
Kansas City Royals logo KC (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

KC starter Seth Lugo has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts, and he's never lost to the Rays, going 3-0 in his career, with a 1.86 ERA.

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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jun 25 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for lefty base hits.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games today.. Compared to last year, Randy Arozarena has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.2% to 50% this season.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Thu, Jun 25 • 3:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Nick Kurtz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp today.
Total RBIs
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Nick Kurtz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jun 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Tatsuya Imai has posted an xERA of 3.61 or lower in three of his past four starts while striking batters out at an increased rate. He has turned a corner.

The Houston Astros should be able to provide him run support against Troy Melton, whose indicators (4.74 xFIP, 4.84 SIERA) suggest his 2.56 ERA is very unsustainable.

Back Houston to -115.

Total
Houston Astros logo Detroit Tigers logo u9.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Tatsuya Imai has posted a 2.82 FIP and 32.1 K% over the past 30 days while holding opponents to three runs or fewer in four of five starts.

While I expect the Houston Astros to cause problems for Troy Melton, the Detroit Tigers have a strong bullpen behind him – and it is well rested after using only two relievers Wednesday night.

I see value on the Under and would play it to -130.

 

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Thu, Jun 25 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nasim Nunez logo
Nasim Nunez u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Typically, hitters like Nasim Nunez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.. Nasim Nunez's 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 0th percentile this year.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest among all stadiums.. This matchup is expected to have the 9th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today.. Bryson Stott has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph average.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Thu, Jun 25 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rogers Centre profiles as the #5 stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.. Jake Burger has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.7-mph.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #5 stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Jun 25 • 7:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Cam Schlittler profile picture
Cam Schlittler u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Earned Runs Allowed
Cam Schlittler profile picture
Cam Schlittler o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
New York Yankees logo
NYY
Moneyline
Bet now
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Cam Schlittler enters in excellent form with a 2.83 FIP over his last five starts while averaging more than 10 strikeouts per nine innings. Against struggling Red Sox starter Connelly Early, Schlittler is well positioned to deliver another strong outing and lead New York to victory.

Total Bases
Jasson Dominguez logo
Jasson Dominguez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Jasson Dominguez has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jun 25 • 7:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is a little outside my usual price range, but we're talking about the hottest hitter in baseball. He leads the league in both slugging and wRC+ over the last two weeks, has crushed a league-best six home runs during that span, and paces all hitters with 10 bombs in June. Citi Field is set up for offense tonight with 14-mph winds blowing out to center field, two taxed bullpens, and a pair of starters who have been generous lately. Freddy Peralta has allowed 26 runs over his last 31 innings and is coming off a start where he surrendered 10 runs and two home runs. He may also be asked to wear some innings with the Mets missing several high-leverage bullpen arms. The first three games of this series have already produced 43 runs, and I'm expecting the offense to keep rolling Thursday night. I'm buying PCA at +300 or better in this spot. 

Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Matthew Boyd.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jun 25 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Gabriel Moreno has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.1-mph mark.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the majors.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Ketel Marte has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 98.1-mph over the last 7 days.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 3 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 6 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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