Wrexham vs Chelsea Predictions, Picks & Odds for Saturday’s FA Cup Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst +10 years betting experience
Updated: Mar 5, 2026 , 03:55 PM ET • 4 min read

Farley's prediction: Goals are in the cards at Racecourse Ground.

Chelsea's Joao Pedro celebrates scoring their fourth goal to complete a hat-trick.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chelsea's Joao Pedro celebrates scoring their fourth goal to complete a hat-trick.

The FA Cup returns this weekend with Hollywood darlings Wrexham hosting Chelsea for a spot in the quarterfinals.

While the result is in question, goals aren’t, and our Wrexham vs. Chelsea predictions are calling for a high-scoring fixture. 

Read on for my free betting picks for Saturday, March 7, with kickoff at 12:45 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Wrexham vs Chelsea picks and predictions

My Wrexham vs Chelsea best bet: Over 2.5 goals and Both teams to score (+100 at Sports Interaction)

There have been Over 2.5 goals in 55.6% of Wrexham’s home games in the league this season, including Over 2.5 goals in six of their past eight league games at the Racecourse Ground. Wrexham have also seen both teams score in eight of their past nine league games at home.

Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 goals in all but four league games away from home this season, including their previous five. Chelsea fixtures have seen both teams score in 11 of 15 away from Stamford Bridge, including their past seven.

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Wrexham vs Chelsea same-game parlay (SGP)

Joao Pedro to score

Kieffer Moore 2+ fouls committed

Kieffer Moore 1+ shots on target

Chelsea’s Joao Pedro leads the club with 17 goals in all competitions. The Brazilian has scored five times in his past four starts.

Kieffer Moore has averaged 1.79 fouls per 90 minutes played in the Championship this season, and it’s not unreasonable to expect him to struggle against Premier League opposition.

We’ve also seen Moore average 0.99 shots on target per 90 minutes played, but Chelsea have been suspect defensively this season and allowed 10.9 shots per game.

Wrexham vs Chelsea odds

 Wrexham  Chelsea
+525 Moneyline -227
+400 Draw +400
Over 2.5 (-200) Total Under 2.5 (+145)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Wrexham vs Chelsea

Location Racecourse Ground, Wrexham, Wales
Date Saturday, March 7, 2026
Time 12:45 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+
Weather 50F, calm and clear.

Wrexham vs Chelsea key injuries

Wrexham: Lewis Brunt MID (Out).
Chelsea: Levi Colwill CB (Out), Marc Cucurella LB (Out), Filip Jorgensen GK (Out), Mykhailio Mudryk FWR (Out), Jamie Gittens FWR (Questionable), Estevao FWR (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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