The Champions League semifinals are here, with two massive matchups set to shape the final.
PSG host Bayern Munich in what feels like a final before the final, while Atletico Madrid welcome Arsenal in a clash of contrasting styles.
Here are the best free betting picks for both legs.
UEFA Champions League weekly picks and best bets for the Semifinals
PSG vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Over 4.5 corners (-105 at Sports Interaction)
It sounds improbable, but the Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid ‘match of the season’ quarter-final second leg might not be remembered as 2025-26’s greatest game.
Bayern ran out 4-3 winners over Real in that glorious encounter a fortnight ago, but this Tuesday’s fixture at Parc des Princes has the potential to be even more thrilling. The Ligue 1 leaders and Bundesliga winners — Europe’s top two teams right now — have the potential to serve up a semi-final to linger long in the memory.
PSG are +130 to win on the night, with the Tie +290, and Bayern +170. More surprisingly, Bayern are -139 favorites to reach the Final, with PSG +100.
There are several metrics on which Bayern have outperformed PSG during the knockout phase. Bayern have an xG supremacy of 1.32 per game from their four Round of 16 and quarter-final fixtures, while PSG’s is just 0.12 per game during the same phase. Across the same fixtures, Bayern have managed a total of 38 shots on target to PSG’s 25, with Bayern having more overall attempts on goal as well (91 vs 47).
The Corners markets provide the top-value selection. Bayern have averaged 7.5 corners per game in their last four Champions League fixtures, managing at least six corners in each of those matches. The price of -105 on the visitors securing five or more corners is too good to overlook.
As an alternative, consider Bayern in the Most Corners market (+125). PSG have registered just 10 corners in total across their last four games in the competition, and never more than three in one match.
- Date: Tuesday, April 28
- Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Parc des Princes, Paris, France
- Where to watch: Paramount+
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
Atletico Madrid Draw No Bet (-114 at Sports Interaction)
Are Arsenal’s chances of reaching the Champions League final really as strong as their price suggests? The London club is -200 to make the final (the market’s way of saying that the probability of them doing so is 67 per cent), while Atletico Madrid are the +150 outsiders (40% probability).
The odds on Arsenal making it through their semi-final would have made sense in the fall. Mikel Arteta’s side played the most ruthlessly effective football in Europe back then, but in 2026, they have faltered. The Gunners have won just two of their last seven matches (W2-D1-L4) in all competitions, and squeaked through the quarter-finals vs a gutsy but limited Sporting by a single goal only (1-0 on aggregate).
Atletico’s own poor form (W2-D0-L7) can be more easily explained: with little to play for in La Liga, they have picked and chosen their games recently, saving their best for the matches that matter. They were disappointed to lose the Spanish Cup Final vs Real Sociedad 10 days ago. If anything, however, their penalty shoot-out defeat in that competition will only make their focus and motivation greater here.
Atletico Madrid’s excellent Champions League knockout phase home record (W14-D7-L1 from their last 22 such fixtures) shows they will be difficult to beat. The hosts are +175 to secure a first-leg lead. Arsenal are +160, and the Tie +220. The Tie is worth considering. Atleti have the potential to win, though, so Draw No Bet is the selection.
- Date: Wednesday, April 29
- Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid, Spain
- Where to watch: Paramount+
Champions League player prop quick hits for the Semifinals
PSG vs Bayern Munich
Michael Olise and Luis Diaz 1+ shots on target (+110 at Sports Interaction)
Cutting in from the right and left wings respectively, Michael Olise and Luis Diaz have had 29 attempts on goal between them during the tournament knockout phase (4.1 average shots per game per player).
With Harry Kane occupying the PSG central defenders, and PSG full-backs Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes often encouraged to stay upfield as part of the Ligue 1 side’s adventurous style of play, Olise and Diaz ought to get clear sightings of goal regularly during the game.
The plus-money price on the pair managing at least one shot on target each is too good to overlook.
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
Julian Alvarez and Viktor Gyokeres 1+ shots on target (+145 at Sports Interaction)
Julian Alvarez has been the star man for Atletico Madrid during the Champions League knockout phase: he has four goals, two assists, and eight shots on target from 12 attempts, including at least one shot on target in all four of the games he has played.
Kai Havertz misses the game through injury, so Sweden international Viktor Gyokeres will spearhead the Arsenal attack. He has had a shot on target in two of his last three games in the tournament (from six attempts).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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