Nigeria vs Morocco Predictions, Picks & Odds — AFCON Semifinal

A heavyweight clash in the Africa Cup of Nations semifinals as Nigeria and Morocco meet with a spot in the final at stake.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Jan 13, 2026 • 14:00 ET • 4 min read
Morocco's Achraf Hakimi and Morocco's Abde Ezzalzouli celebrate.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Morocco's Achraf Hakimi and Morocco's Abde Ezzalzouli celebrate.

With everything on the line in the second AFCON semifinal, Nigeria and Morocco collide in a heavyweight showdown defined by discipline versus explosiveness.

My Nigeria vs. Morocco predictions and free betting picks explain why siding with Morocco’s structure, form, and home cooking is the best way to attack this game on Wednesday, January 14.

Nigeria vs Morocco picks and predictions

Nigeria vs Morocco best bet: Morocco moneyline (+110 at Sports Interaction)

This sets up as a true home game for Morocco, and they’ve played like it throughout the tournament.

Morocco enter this semifinal in red-hot form, unbeaten in their last 22 matches dating back to August 10, 2025, and they’ve conceded just once during this AFCON run. They’ve been tested in tight, high-leverage spots and consistently found answers.

Nigeria bring attacking talent, but they haven’t faced a defense this disciplined or organized all tournament.

In a knockout setting where margins are thin, Morocco’s structure, form, and comfort in this environment give them the edge.

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Nigeria vs Morocco same-game parlay (SGP)

Morocco moneyline

Brahim Diaz 2+ shots on target

Over 8.5 corners

Morocco winning pairs naturally with volume from Brahim Díaz, who leads the tournament in scoring with five goals and has found the net in every match. He’s the focal point of Morocco’s attack and isn’t shy about shooting from distance, making multiple shots on target a realistic ask.

In a high-stakes semifinal, expect both teams to sell out to block shots and clear their lines, which is why the corner count should be high. 

Nigeria vs Morocco projected lineups

Nigeria (4-3-1-2): Nwabali, Osayi-Samuel, Ajayi, Bassey, Onyemaechi, Onyeka, Onyedika, Iwobi, Lookman, Osimhen, Adams

Injuries: Cyriel Dessers (Out), Wilfred Ndidi (Out). 

Morocco (4-3-3): Bono, Mazraoui, Masina, Aguerd, Hakimi, Saibari, El Aynaoui, El Khannouss, Ezzalzouli, El Kaabi, Diaz

Injuries: Azzedine Ounahi (Out). 

Nigeria vs Morocco odds

Nigeria Morocco
+229 Moneyline +115
+220 Draw +220
Over 2.5 (+129) Total Under 2.5 (-164)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Nigeria vs Morocco

Location Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat, Morocco
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV beIN Sports
Weather Chance of showers. 

 Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade, honing his craft as a writer, editor, and handicapper. Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet', BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid. He also runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

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