Leeds vs Brentford United Predictions, Picks & Odds for Saturday's Premier League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 20, 2026 , 09:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Farley's prediction: Thiago stings the Peacocks.

Igor Thiago of Brentford celebrates a goal.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Igor Thiago of Brentford celebrates a goal.

The Premier League relegation battle is heating up, and Leeds vs. Brentford could be key, with the home side desperate for points.

Leeds’ backline haven’t been at their best in recent weeks, and our Leeds vs. Brentford predictions expect in-form Bees striker Igor Thiago to score another goal to add to his collection.

Read on for my free betting picks for Saturday, March 21, with kickoff at 4:00 p.m. ET on USA Network.

Premier League predictions for Leeds vs Brentford

My Leeds vs Brentford best bet: Igor Thiago to score (+120 at Sports Interaction)

Brentford are the Premier League’s sixth-highest scoring team, a lot of which is down to striker Igor Thiago. Thiago has scored the second-most goals in the Premier League with 19 goals. The Brazilian, averaging 135 minutes per goal, leads the team in shots per 90 minutes played (2.43) and shots on target per game (1.31).

Leeds have conceded in seven of their past eight Premier League games and have the fourth-worst defense, which should mean that Brentford will have plenty of chances, especially since they have lost just one of their last seven road fixtures. 

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Leeds vs Brentford same-game parlay (SGP)

Ethan Ampadu 1+ fouls committed

Jayden Bogle 1+ fouls committed

Dango Ouattara 1+ fouls committed

Leeds’ captain Ethan Ampadu has committed 34 fouls in 27 games for his team this season.

Jayden Bogle has averaged 1.2 fouls per 90 minutes in the EPL this season, but what really stands out is the fact that Bogle has conceded at least one foul in eight straight Premier League starts.

Brentford wideman Dango Ouattara has 21 fouls in 23 appearances for Brentford, and Ouattara has averaged 1.17 fouls per 90 minutes on the field this season.

Leeds vs Brentford United odds

Leeds vs Brentford live odds

How to watch Leeds vs Brentford

Location Elland Road, Leeds, England
Date Saturday, March 21, 2026
Time 4:00 p.m. ET
TV USA Network.
Weather Partly cloudy. 
Leeds  Recent EPL form D-L-L-D-D
Brentford  Recent EPL form D-D-W-L-D

Leeds vs Brentford key injuries

Leeds: Gabriel Gudmunsson LB (Out), Noah Okafor FWR (Questionable)
Brentford: Fabio Carvalho FWR (Out), Josh Dasilva MID (Out), Antoni Milambo MID (Out), Vitaly Janelt CM (Out), Aaron Hickey FB (Out), Rico Henry DEF (Out), Mikkel Damsgaard FWR (Questionable)

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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