The countdown is on — with only a year to go until kickoff, World Cup fever is starting to build, and the FIFA World Cup 2026 odds are offering an early glimpse at the favorites to lift the trophy.
Spain currently tops the odds board at +550, followed closely by Brazil (+600), France (+650), and England (+700).
Defending champions Argentina sit a bit further back at +800 — a surprising number for a squad that lifted the trophy in Qatar just three years ago.
With 12 teams qualified and 36 more to come, the early action offers sharp bettors plenty to dissect.
FIFA World Cup 2026 odds
| Country |  |
|---|---|
 Spain |
+550 |
 Brazil |
+600 |
 France |
+650 |
 England |
+700 |
 Argentina |
+800 |
 Germany |
+1000 |
 Portugal |
+1200 |
 Netherlands |
+2000 |
 Italy |
+2500 |
 Belgium |
+3300 |
 Uruguay |
+4000 |
 Colombia |
+5000 |
 Norway |
+5000 |
 USA |
+5000 |
 Croatia |
+6600 |
 Denmark |
+6600 |
 Mexico |
+6600 |
 Morocco |
+10000 |
 Japan |
+10000 |
 Paraguay |
+10000 |
 Serbia |
+10000 |
 Switzerland |
+10000 |
 Canada |
+15000 |
Odds as of 6-11.
FIFA World Cup 2026 favorites
Spain
In my very honest, unbiased opinion as an Italian, the list of favorites for the 2026 FIFA World Cup should start and end with Spain.
La Roja are the reigning European champions and, as we saw through their run to the Nations League final, are a team that can pick you apart in a hurry.
They boast a deep, talented squad led by teenage sensation Lamine Yamal and a coach in Luis de la Fuente who demands an aggressive, possession-based style of play.
With very little resistance in their World Cup qualifying group that starts for them in September, La Roja should be all systems go to make a deep run at next summer's tournament.
Brazil
When the 2026 FIFA World Cup rolls around, it'll mark 24 years since Brazil last reached the pinnacle of the soccer world.
To Brazilians, those 24 years feel like 100, and with no real direction, the Seleção may be looking at yet another tournament gone by the wayside.
While they did qualify for the tournament, they sit fourth in CONMEBOL, and with no clear starting lineup, the appointment of Carlo Ancelotti is about the only thing to get excited about.
Can the highly decorated manager pull the strings and get the most from his side? Only time will tell.
France
It's hard to find a reason to rule out France as World Cup winners, but I think the two teams below on this list should be rated slightly higher.
Runners-up in Qatar just three years ago, much of the same core returns, including Kylian Mbappe and Aurelien Tchouameni. Add in the PSG duo who are currently in-form — Ousman Dembele and Desire Doue — and you have yourself a deep, talented roster.
With Didier Deschamps still running a tight ship, the French will be a tough out in 2026.
England
There are always concerns with England ahead of a major international tournament, so don't read too much into what happens before then.
This is a team littered with world-class players, led by Harry Kane, and one that, on its day, can bang in three or four goals with ease.
Some will be quick to point out a 1-0 win vs. lowly Andorra in qualifying as a reason why they can't be taken series, but to that I say, relax.
England will find a way to make a deep run and have you believing for a second "football is coming home"
Argentina
Cometh the hour, cometh the man.
That was certainly the case in Qatar, where Lionel Messi led his country to a memorable World Cup trophy.
With this possibly being Messi's last World Cup, Argentina will be out for blood, looking to defend their crown.
They've been dominant in qualifying and, as the reigning World Champs and winners of the past two Copa America tournaments, it would be foolish to rule them out.
FIFA World Cup 2026 betting splits
365 Days from the start of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Spain is the most-bet tournament winner on ESPN BET with 15.1% of bets and 15.7% of handle.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
- Spain – 15.1% of bets, 15.7% of handle
- France – 15.6% of bets, 14.9% of handle
- England – 11.8% of bets, 12.7% of handle
- Germany – 6.2% of bets, 10.8% of handle
- Portugal – 4.2% of bets, 9.8% of handle
The U.S. (+5000) has 4.2% of bets and 4.4% of handle (9th most) while fellow hosts Mexico (+4000) has less than 1% of bets and 1.8% of handle (11th most) and Canada (+10000) has 1.1% of bets and less than 1% of handle (18th most).
Which countries have already qualified for the FIFA World Cup?
| Country | Confederation |
|---|---|
| USA | CONCACAF |
| Canada | CONCACAF |
| Mexico | CONCACAF |
| Argentina | CONMEBOL |
| Brazil | CONMEBOL |
| Ecuador | CONMEBOL |
| Australia | AFC |
| Jordan | AFC |
| Uzbekistan | AFC |
| Japan | AFC |
| Iran | AFC |
| New Zealand | OFC |
As of 6-11-25.
As shown in the table above, 12 nations have already qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
The United States, Canada, and Mexico are in automatically as host nations, while the other nine punched their tickets through regional playoffs or by finishing near the top of their qualifying groups.
That still leaves 36 coveted spots up for grabs ahead of next summer’s global showdown.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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