Posted:
#1
1) Try to identify a match-up where one team wants to be there > motivated to win
and the other team is not ...
* has a team already achieved it's goals?...or > is there more work to be done?..
* fade the team with high hopes..that had season come crashing down late...
* fade the average team ...that closed it's season with a huge win
* play on ...a strong team that performed poorly in LY's bowl
* if neither care...OR...both do...maybe look to play total > avoid side play
2) Play on the team with the stronger "bowl coach"...fade the team that has consistently
played poorly in bowls.....some coaches just want the extra practice time to get his team ready
for next year.....some guys know how to get their team ready
3) Beware the long lay-off...fade the team that has been off for a long time...especially if playing
a team that has not ...
4) BEST BET?....pick the SU winner of the game...as that team almost always covers
***** so consider a ML play instead if you like the dog
5) Lean to the team with the stronger QB
6) Consider crowd edge and weather factors...a team from the south has maybe been able to practice
outside every day...a northern team maybe only a few..(do they have an indoor practice facility?)
also a southern team traveling to cold weather watch out....some teams travel very well...some very few make the trip..
7) In general...look to play on the team with the very strong D...fade the team with strong O and weak D
8) Fade the "bowl virgin".....a team that has never been to a bowl...or hasn't been in a long time...
is often "just happy to be there"....
9) Fade turnover prone teams..the long lay-off will not help
10) Strongly consider strength of schedule....
* use early (conference) results to help you predict later games
11) Fade the Heisman winner...not a freakish trend....a huge time commitment leaves him often fat and
looking more to NFL than playing another game..plus line is often inflated
12) Beware the team with the interim coach...you would think FADE...seems like just the opposite lately
and the other team is not ...
* has a team already achieved it's goals?...or > is there more work to be done?..
* fade the team with high hopes..that had season come crashing down late...
* fade the average team ...that closed it's season with a huge win
* play on ...a strong team that performed poorly in LY's bowl
* if neither care...OR...both do...maybe look to play total > avoid side play
2) Play on the team with the stronger "bowl coach"...fade the team that has consistently
played poorly in bowls.....some coaches just want the extra practice time to get his team ready
for next year.....some guys know how to get their team ready
3) Beware the long lay-off...fade the team that has been off for a long time...especially if playing
a team that has not ...
4) BEST BET?....pick the SU winner of the game...as that team almost always covers
***** so consider a ML play instead if you like the dog
5) Lean to the team with the stronger QB
6) Consider crowd edge and weather factors...a team from the south has maybe been able to practice
outside every day...a northern team maybe only a few..(do they have an indoor practice facility?)
also a southern team traveling to cold weather watch out....some teams travel very well...some very few make the trip..
7) In general...look to play on the team with the very strong D...fade the team with strong O and weak D
8) Fade the "bowl virgin".....a team that has never been to a bowl...or hasn't been in a long time...
is often "just happy to be there"....
9) Fade turnover prone teams..the long lay-off will not help
10) Strongly consider strength of schedule....
* use early (conference) results to help you predict later games
11) Fade the Heisman winner...not a freakish trend....a huge time commitment leaves him often fat and
looking more to NFL than playing another game..plus line is often inflated
12) Beware the team with the interim coach...you would think FADE...seems like just the opposite lately
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
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