Sweden upset Czechia in the elimination round, earning the opportunity to face Team USA for a spot in the gold medal game.
While my USA vs. Sweden predictions and free betting picks don’t see the Cinderella story continuing, there’s value in backing the Swedes on the puck line.
USA vs Sweden prediction
USA vs Sweden Best bet: Sweden +5.5 (-150 at BET99)
Sweden has been dominant, sporting a 5-0 record and +18 goal differential. They have yet to concede twice in any contest.
Sweden played in a much softer group featuring zero Top-5 countries, but showed well stepping up in class.
Their elimination game came against Czechia, who finished behind only the USA and Canada in Group A. Sweden not only beat the No. 3-ranked country in the world, but shut them out (2-0).
Team USA has only scored more than five goals once, doing so against No. 17-ranked Italy. Against a confident and in-form Sweden team, producing that kind of output is unlikely.
USA vs Sweden odds
- Moneyline: USA -20000 | Sweden +2000
- Puck Line: USA -5.5 (+120) | Sweden +5.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
How to watch USA vs Sweden
| Location | Milana Santagiulia Arena, Milan, Italy |
| Date | Monday, February 16, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 10:40 a.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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