The New York Rangers are one of the best road teams in the league so far with a 7-1-1 record, and they’ll take that into Tampa Bay on Wednesday night.
The Lightning have won two straight and seven of their last eight, though, so it should be a good matchup for NHL on TNT.
My Rangers vs. Lightning prediction is expecting a low-scoring game in Tampa Bay.
Read on as I break down my NHL picks for Wednesday, November 12.
Rangers vs Lightning prediction
Rangers vs Lightning Best bet: Under 5.5 (+105)
It isn’t a back-to-back situation for either of these teams, so we should be getting both starters in net. It’s a matchup between two of the best in the league in Igor Shesterkin for the New York Rangers and Andrei Vasilevskiy for the Tampa Bay Lightning.
Shesterkin is 5-6-2 with a 2.46 goals-against average and .908 save percentage, and Vasilevskiy has similar numbers, going 5-4-2 with a 2.55 GAA and .907 SV%.
Both teams have trended heavily to the Under this season. The Rangers have gone under the total in 11 of 17 games, with the under hitting in nine of 15 Lightning games so far.
I’ll take the plus odds for Shesterkin and Vasilevskiy to go save for save on Wednesday night.
Rangers vs Lightning same-game parlay
Brandon Hagel has taken a huge step forward in recent years for the Lightning. He went from 75 points (26 goals, 49 assists) two years ago to 90 points (35 goals, 55 assists) last season.
The winger is off to a solid start this year with 14 points in 15 games, and has 44 shots as well. He’s had at least three shots in six of his last seven games, with a point in seven of eight.
Rangers vs Lightning SGP
- Under 5.5
- Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 SOG
- Brandon Hagel 0.5 points
Rangers vs Lightning odds
- Moneyline: New York +120 | Tampa Bay -145
- Puck Line: New York +1.5 (-200) | Tampa Bay -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-125) | Under 5.5 (+105)
Rangers vs Lightning trend
The New York Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Rangers vs. Lightning.
How to watch Rangers vs Lightning
| Location | Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL |
| Date | Wednesday, November 12, 2025 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TNT |
Rangers vs Lightning latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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