The Florida Panthers carry a 2-1 series lead into Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final against the Edmonton Oilers, and the two teams will tango at Amerant Bank Arena on Thursday, June 12.
Sergei Bobrovsky features heavily in my top Oilers vs. Panthers predictions and NHL picks for this showdown in Sunrise.
Who will win Oilers vs Panthers Game 4?
Sure, the Oilers are only down 2-1 in the series, but this is as close to a must-win game as there is because Edmonton needs to win three of the next four to hoist the hardware.
Florida running away with Game 3 has Edmonton trading as a road underdog, but I’ve been anticipating a back-and-forth series, so the Cats and Oil will head back to Rogers Place tied up 2-2.
Oilers vs Panthers prediction
My Oilers vs Panthers pick: Sergei Bobrovsky Over 26.5 saves (-115 at Sports Interaction)
Combine the Edmonton Oilers generating consistent shooting opportunities through the first three games of the Stanley Cup Final with Florida Panthers star Sergei Bobrovsky stringing together a sterling 12-game stretch, and I can’t look past this 26.5 saves total in Game 4.
So, it’s back to the well, as they say.
There will be a pushback from Edmonton on Thursday night, and the Oil have already registered 60.64 attempts and 32.96 shots per 60 minutes to start the series.
Additionally, I also value Edmonton's fast starts, with the Oilers recording double-digit shots in each of the three first periods for an average of 12.7.
The eye test has also revealed the Oilers are capable of attacking off the rush and have made a point to funnel shots from the perimeter when set up in the offensive zone.
Shot volume from Edmonton is the key because Bobrovsky will take care of the rest.
He’s up to a .928 save percentage with 3.76 goals saved above expected through the first three games, and he’s won nine of his past 12 starts with respective .938 and 17.49 marks.
Finally, Bobrovsky has posted a .952 SV% with 7.94 GSAx through the five home games during the heater.
Oilers vs Panthers same-game parlay (SGP)
Oilers moneyline
Under 6.5
Leon Draisaitl 3+ shots on goal
The Oilers let Game 3 slip away — big time — but they’ve consistently bounced back throughout the postseason, and there’s been an overreaction in the moneyline odds with Edmonton trading at +125 at Sports Interaction.
This is still a coinflip series, and Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl will have their say in Game 4.
Turning to the Under 6.5, I’d expect both head coaches to be calling for more disciplined play and fewer trips to the penalty box. There have only been 12 goals at 5-on-5 through the first three games compared to eight power-play tallies, one shorthanded goal, and an Oilers goal scored with the goalie pulled.
With the final leg of the same-game parlay, Draisaitl was held without a shot or attempt in Game 3 after piling up eight shots on 15 attempts through the first two contests. Plus, he ranks in the 98th percentile of forwards in shots on goal during the postseason.
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Oilers vs Panthers odds
Oilers vs Panthers live odds
Oilers vs Panthers opening odds
- Puck line: Edmonton +1.5 (-200) | Florida -1.5 (+165)
- Moneyline: Edmonton +125 | Florida -150
- Over/Under: Over 6 (-130) | Under 6 (+100)
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
Oilers vs Panthers trend
The Edmonton Oilers have hit the Under in 29 of their last 54 away games (+3.40 Units / 6% ROI), and the Florida Panthers have hit the Under in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+2.75 Units / 5% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Panthers.
How to watch Oilers vs Panthers
| Location | Amerant Arena, Sunrise, FL |
| Date | Thursday, 6-12-2025 |
| Puck drop | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | SN, ESPN |
Oilers vs Panthers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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