The Toronto Maple Leafs hit the ice against the reeling New York Islanders at UBS Arena on Thursday, April 9.
With Toronto playing the second leg of a back-to-back and New York entering the Pete DeBoer era, my top Maple Leafs vs. Islanders predictions and NHL picks are calling for this game to go Under the number.
Maple Leafs vs Islanders prediction
Maple Leafs vs Islanders best bet: Under 6.5 (-120)
This is a horrible schedule spot for the Toronto Maple Leafs after a 4-0 home loss on Wednesday, because the New York Islanders have been sitting on a four-game losing streak since Saturday.
New York has also dropped from a postseason position and hired a new coach, so I’m anticipating a motivated bunch in front of star goalie Ilya Sorokin.
Sorokin is second in goals saved above expected for the season, and I’m anticipating him shutting the door Thursday night on home ice to lead the way in this total going Under the number.
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Maple Leafs vs Islanders same-game parlay
Toronto winger William Nylander was held to a single shot on Wednesday despite recording five attempts, so I’m expecting a better conversion rate from the top-line star tonight.
He’s pacing the club in shots per 60 minutes since the NHL Trade Deadline, after all, and the Islanders have allowed a healthy 31.5 shots per game during their highlighted losing streak.
As a result, Matthew Knies also has my attention because he’s skating with a pair of pass-first forwards in Max Domi and Matias Maccelli, and Knies has collected two shots in consecutive games while logging 18:50 per with 3:16 on the power play.
Maple Leafs vs Islanders SGP
- Under 6.5
- William Nylander Over 2.5 shots
- Matthew Knies Over 1.5 shots
Maple Leafs vs Islanders odds
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs +210 | Islanders -260
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 (-115) | Islanders -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+100) | Under 6.5 (-120)
Maple Leafs vs Islanders trend
The Islanders have won 16 of their last 25 home games for +5.60 units and a 19% ROI. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Islanders.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Islanders
| Location | UBS Arena, Belmont Park, NY |
| Date | Thursday, April 9, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 6:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN4, MSGSN2 |
Maple Leafs vs Islanders latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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