Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Luc LeBlanc - Betting Editor at Covers.com
Luc LeBlanc • Content Editor 3+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 9, 2026 , 12:28 PM ET • 3 min read

LeBlanc's prediction: Cole Caufield strikes as a facilitator.

NHL

Match starts: 4 hrs
TB
38 %
MON
62 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Cole Caufield o0.5  Assists (+100) Cole Caufield o0.5 Assists (+100)
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Cole Caufield Montreal Canadiens NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens forward Cole Caufield (13).

The Montreal Canadiens host the Tampa Bay Lightning in an Atlantic Division heavyweight bout on Thursday, April 9.

This potential playoff matchup is perhaps the most important game of the season for both teams, with the division title up for grabs.

My Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks suggest that Cole Caufield, laden with the ever-looming 50-goal plateau, will find other ways to hit the scoresheet in front of the Bell Centre faithful.

Lightning vs Canadiens prediction

Lightning vs Canadiens best bet: Cole Caufield Over 0.5 assists (+100)

The elephant in the room regarding Cole Caufield has overshadowed a particularly generous stretch for the Montreal Canadiens' 25-year-old.

He's racked up three assists in three games since his latest tally, and 10 over his last 12 games. This plus-odds pricing is perhaps as egregious as his Olympic omission.

Caufield's natural goal-scoring ability outshines his playmaking, but he’s tied his career-high assist total and has been playing at a 68-assist pace since mid-March.

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Lightning vs Canadiens same-game parlay

Rookie sensation Ivan Demidov is quickly becoming a focal point of the Canadiens' stacked offense, only one year removed from his contract signing late last season.

The 20-year-old has a point in seven of his last eight games, notably racking up a power-play point (+215) in four of them. He leads all rookies with 61 points.

On the topic of red-hot Habs rookies, Jakub Dobes has been the best goaltender in the league over the last month. He's won six straight games and boasts an astounding 28-8-4 record.

Dobes has allowed three goals or fewer in 11 consecutive starts, holding Tampa to a lone goal as he stopped 36 of 37 shots on March 31.

Lightning vs Canadiens SGP

  • Cole Caufield Over 0.5 assists
  • Ivan Demidov Over 0.5 points
  • Tampa Bay Under 3.5 goals

Lightning vs Canadiens odds

  • Moneyline: Lightning -115 | Canadiens -105
  • Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+200) | Canadiens +1.5 (-245)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)

Lightning vs Canadiens trend

The Over has hit in three of the last four head-to-head meetings. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Canadiens.

How to watch Lightning vs Canadiens

Location Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date Thursday, April 9, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV The Spot, TSN2

Lightning vs Canadiens latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Luc LeBlanc
Content Editor

Luc has been passionate about sports since he was a child, playing competitive hockey and staying closely tuned to professional leagues. Today, he brings that same energy to his work as a Content Editor, covering NHL games, player props, and betting trends with a sharp, analytical eye.

Since 2023, Luc has been writing picks and analysis for various publications, helping readers discover value in several major sports. While hockey is his specialty, he also closely follows tennis, keeping up with both the ATP and WTA Tours.

A graduate of Saint Mary’s University (BSc, Geography, 2025), Luc approaches sports betting the way he approaches maps and statistics by looking for patterns, trends, and angles that give him an edge. He focuses on research-backed and well-informed picks, spotting correlations, and finding the best opportunities in player props and game markets.

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