Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Luc LeBlanc - Betting Editor at Covers.com
Luc LeBlanc • Content Editor 3+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 9, 2026 , 12:28 PM ET • 3 min read

LeBlanc's prediction: Cole Caufield strikes as a facilitator.

NHL

Apr 09 • 7:00 PM ET
TB
37 %
MON
63 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Cole Caufield o0.5  Assists (+100) Cole Caufield o0.5 Assists (+100)
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Cole Caufield Montreal Canadiens NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens forward Cole Caufield (13).

The Montreal Canadiens host the Tampa Bay Lightning in an Atlantic Division heavyweight bout on Thursday, April 9.

This potential playoff matchup is perhaps the most important game of the season for both teams, with the division title up for grabs.

My Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks suggest that Cole Caufield, laden with the ever-looming 50-goal plateau, will find other ways to hit the scoresheet in front of the Bell Centre faithful.

Lightning vs Canadiens prediction

Lightning vs Canadiens best bet: Cole Caufield Over 0.5 assists (+100)

The elephant in the room regarding Cole Caufield has overshadowed a particularly generous stretch for the Montreal Canadiens' 25-year-old.

He's racked up three assists in three games since his latest tally, and 10 over his last 12 games. This plus-odds pricing is perhaps as egregious as his Olympic omission.

Caufield's natural goal-scoring ability outshines his playmaking, but he’s tied his career-high assist total and has been playing at a 68-assist pace since mid-March.

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Lightning vs Canadiens same-game parlay

Rookie sensation Ivan Demidov is quickly becoming a focal point of the Canadiens' stacked offense, only one year removed from his contract signing late last season.

The 20-year-old has a point in seven of his last eight games, notably racking up a power-play point (+215) in four of them. He leads all rookies with 61 points.

On the topic of red-hot Habs rookies, Jakub Dobes has been the best goaltender in the league over the last month. He's won six straight games and boasts an astounding 28-8-4 record.

Dobes has allowed three goals or fewer in 11 consecutive starts, holding Tampa to a lone goal as he stopped 36 of 37 shots on March 31.

Lightning vs Canadiens SGP

  • Cole Caufield Over 0.5 assists
  • Ivan Demidov Over 0.5 points
  • Tampa Bay Under 3.5 goals

Lightning vs Canadiens odds

  • Moneyline: Lightning -115 | Canadiens -105
  • Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+200) | Canadiens +1.5 (-245)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)

Lightning vs Canadiens trend

The Over has hit in three of the last four head-to-head meetings. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Canadiens.

How to watch Lightning vs Canadiens

Location Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date Thursday, April 9, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV The Spot, TSN2

Lightning vs Canadiens latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Luc LeBlanc
Content Editor

Luc LeBlanc is a Content Editor at Covers who believes good information should make people think more clearly — not tell them what to think.

He prioritizes organizing sports data into simple, transparent insights that readers can actually use. Rather than relying on bold predictions, model projections, or betting buzzwords, he prefers presenting meaningful trends, relevant context, and easy-to-understand statistics that help people make informed decisions for themselves.

A lifelong hockey player and sports fan, Luc combines an analytical mindset with a passion for clear communication. Whether he's breaking down NHL player props, tennis matchups, or broader betting trends, his goal is always the same: take complex information, remove the noise, and present it in a way that's accessible to everyone from casual fans to experienced bettors.

Luc is always exploring new ways to visualize information or finding ways to make numbers easier to understand. Hockey and tennis may be his favourite sports, but he is most passionate about making information easier to understand. Whether it's the NHL, ATP Tour, MLB, or NFL, he enjoys finding meaningful patterns, separating signal from noise, and presenting data in a way that anyone can follow.

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