Week 7 NFL Parlay Picks: Lions Roar vs Ravens

Perhaps I've been in denial for most of the season, but I think it's finally time to take the 5-1 Detroit Lions seriously as a Super Bowl odds contender. The NFL odds don't seem to agree, as the Lions are underdogs in Baltimore as they battle the Ravens in Week 7.

I'll take the points with Detroit and group it with a pair of strong moneyline plays. I'll also fill out a three-leg same-game parlay for Packers vs. Broncos, highlighting my three favorite NFL player props in that contest.

Without further ado, here are my best free NFL parlay picks and predictions for Week 7.

Week 7 NFL parlay picks

• Lions +3 + Seahawks ML + Chiefs ML = +236
• Love o234.5 pass yds + Watson o3.5 rec +  Sutton u50.5 rec yds = +420

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Best Week 7 parlay pick

Lions +3

Seahawks moneyline

Chiefs moneyline

+236 at BetMGM

Strength meets strength, at least on paper, when the Lions take on the Ravens in Baltimore. Detroit boasts the No. 4 total offense in football, while the Ravens are second in total defense. However, I'm not buying Baltimore as an elite stop unit.

The Ravens have matched up with three of the Bottom 7 total offenses in football, namely the Bengals, Steelers, and Titans. They also had the benefit of facing Dorian Thompson-Robinson when they battled the Browns in Week 4.

Detroit has proven they can beat you in more ways than one over the last two weeks, acing the Panthers by piling up 42 points despite missing Jared Goff's top target in Amon-Ra St. Brown before limiting the previously one-loss Buccaneers to six points in Tampa Bay last Sunday.

The Lions were tested for class from the jump in Week 1 when they beat the Chiefs 21-20, but some have attached an asterisk to that victory due to the Kadarius Toney drops and the fact Travis Kelce didn't play. I think they'll pick up a signature win this week vs. what figures to be a jet-lagged Ravens team fresh off a London game last Sunday morning.

The Seahawks will be massive favorites when they host the Cardinals this week, and for good reason. Since beating the Cowboys in Week 3, Arizona has lived up to its preseason billing by losing their last three games by a 95-45 aggregate.

Seattle has beaten the Cards in three straight meetings by at least eight points each time, but I'll just play it safe and add the Seahawks moneyline as Geno Smith & Co. look to bounce back from a frustrating loss in Cincinnati.

Finally, the tax on the Chiefs moneyline isn't as steep as it could be vs. the Chargers, so I'll bite. 

Patrick Mahomes & Co. have won six of the last eight meetings between these clubs, and come into this one winners of five straight with the benefit of extra rest to boot after playing the Thursday night game in Week 6.

Best Week 7 SGP

Jordan Love Over 234.5 Passing Yards

Christian Watson Over 3.5 Receptions

Courtland Sutton Under 50.5 Receiving Yards

+420 at Caesars

Jordan Love looked less than stellar under the bright lights of Monday night vs. the Raiders in Week 5, but he's had a bye to review the tape and hopefully correct some mistakes. The Packers have won each of their last two games following a bye week by multiple scores under Matt LaFleur, albeit Aaron Rodgers was under center both times. I think bookmakers are selling Love short vs. a dreadful Broncos defense, so he'll kick off my best three-leg same-game parlay of the afternoon.

I'm backing Love to clear a passing yards bar of 234.5 yards, something he's achieved three times through five games this year. He'll have the benefit of facing a Broncos stop unit that's worst in the NFL by net yards per pass attempt. Denver has seen some soft quarterback matchups so far, but Mahomes burned this unit for 306 yards on a short turnaround in the Week 6 TNF affair when last seen.

Christian Watson has wasted little time making an impact following a false start due to injury. After being targeted only four times in Week 4, he saw seven passes aimed his way and reeled in three of them in Week 5. I don't think it's a stretch that he'll get to four catches in this spot considering the matchup. Watson ended his rookie season by recording at least four catches in six of eight games.

Finally, I'm fading Broncos wide-out Courtland Sutton, who's seen his production dip thanks to some sub-par efforts from quarterback Russell Wilson. This isn't likely to be the game that the Denver offense bounces back, as the Packers boast the eighth-best stop unit by net yards allowed per pass.

Sutton has gone below 50.5 receiving yards in three straight tilts and four of his six games this season. His longest grab over his last 16 games is just 25 yards.

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