Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon has become a dual threat for this offense in the postseason, reeling in 13 of 15 targets for a total of 106 receiving yards in the past three playoff games.
Super Bowl odds have Mixon facing an Over/Under total of 13.5 yards for his longest reception in the Big Game — do we think he'll rip off a long catch or stay conservative?
Here is our best Super Bowl 56 player prop bet for Joe Mixon's longest reception.
Super Bowl 56 longest reception odds
The odds below represent the best odds available for each player's touchdown market from regulated US sportsbooks.
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Joe Mixon longest reception pick
- Joe Mixon Longest Reception Over 13.5 (-110)
Pick made on January 31, 2022.
The playoffs have actually seen an uptick in production for Mixon on the receiving end, compared to the regular season in which he caught 42 balls for 314 yards (just under 20 yards per game). His average yards per reception have also spiked, jumping from 7.5 to 8.2.
Mixon faces a modest Over/Under total for his longest reception in Super Bowl LVI, which is set at 13.5 yards. This prop actually jumped a yard in the midst of this writeup, so we’re on to something.
But even with the increase, I feel Mixon could knock this prop out in one play.
The Oklahoma product has easily toppled that total in all three playoff games — posting receiving longs of 18, 21, and 21 yards (as well as an 18-yard gain on a slick one-handed grab in the AFC title game) — and in his final two games of the regular season, Mixon managed highs of 15 and 52 yards.
One of the big storylines going into Super Bowl LVI is Joe Burrow versus the Los Angeles Rams pass rush. The Bengals have done a crap job keeping their quarterback clean, allowing a league-high 51 sacks in the regular season and 12 sacks in the playoffs so far. Los Angeles will bring pressure, and plenty of blitzes, leaving Burrow hurried and trying to get rid of the ball.
With starting tight end C.J. Uzomah nursing a sprained MCL suffered in the AFC Championship Game (the team is hopeful he can play), there could be unclaimed targets out there — especially when it comes to checkdowns when the pressure gets too much.
Los Angeles hasn’t allowed a ton of receiving yards to running backs on the year but gave up 7.4 yards per catch to the position and ranks out No. 24 in DVOA (per Football Outsiders) when defending running backs as receivers. The Rams also gave up longs of 13, 19, and 21 yards to running backs in their three postseason games.