Super Bowl First Touchdown Scorer Prediction 2026: Odds, Analysis & Top Picks

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst +16 years betting experience
Updated: Feb 7, 2026 , 12:25 PM ET • 4 min read

Parker's prediction: AJ Barner and Drake Maye are worth betting to strike first.

Drake Maye New England Patriots NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye celebrates a touchdown.

All eyes will be on Levi’s Stadium for Super Bowl 60 between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots on Sunday, February 8.

I break down my two favorite Super Bowl first touchdown picks and NFL picks for the Big Game.

Super Bowl 60 first touchdown scorer picks

Player Odds
Seahawks AJ Barner +1200
Patriots Drake Maye +1300
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Seahawks Seahawks first TD scorer

AJ Barner (+1200)

Seattle Seahawks tight end AJ Barner has multiple paths to pay dirt against the New England Patriots.

He caught six touchdowns during the regular season and also rushed one in, with the 23-year-old tight end frequently moonlighting in quarterback-sneak and short-yardage situations. Forget the tush push, it’s time for the Seattle shove.

Barner also garnered a respectable 13 red-zone targets and was targeted on a healthy 20.9% of his routes during the regular season. His 66.7% contested catch rate and 5.1 yards after the catch per reception were high-end marks among tight ends, too.

Patriots Patriots first TD scorer

Drake Maye (+1300)

The Seahawks have only allowed five rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs across 19 games, and Patriots quarterback Drake Maye is a threat on the ground with four rushing scores during the regular season and another in the AFC title game.

I’m anticipating Seattle giving the New England rushing attack trouble in the red zone, and Maye needing to call his own number or scramble for a score in Super Bowl LX.

It’s definitely in play, too.

Maye had 21 red-zone rushing attempts and finished third with 422 yards accumulated from scrambles during the regular season, after all, and he’s added another 125 scramble yards across three playoff contests.

Seahawks and Patriots 1st TD scorers in 2025-26

Week Seahawks Seahawks Patriots Patriots
1 Zach Charbonnet DeMario Douglas
2 Tory Horton Mack Hollins
3 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Hunter Henry
4 AJ Barner Marcus Jones
5 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rhamondre Stevenson
6 Jaxon Smith-Njigba DeMario Douglas
7 Zach Charbonnet Austin Hooper
8 BYE Hunter Henry
9 Tory Horton DeMario Douglas
10 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Kyle Williams
11 Kenneth Walker III TreVeyon Henderson
12 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Hunter Henry
13 Ernest Jones IV Marcus Jones
14 Rashid Shaheed BYE
15 No touchdown Drake Maye
16 Zach Charbonnet Hunter Henry
17 Zach Charbonnet Austin Hooper
18 Zach Charbonnet TreVeyon Henderson
Wild Card BYE Hunter Henry
Divisional  Rashid Shaheed DeMario Douglas
Conference Championship Kenneth Walker III Drake Maye

 

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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