Caleb Williams made some clutch throws vs. the Packers en route to a win on Wild Card Weekend, but the competition ramps up on Sunday night when the Chicago Bears host the Los Angeles Rams.
Find out why my Rams vs. Bears props and NFL picks for January 18 believe the Bears will be forced to put their trust in the former No. 1 overall pick once more.
Rams vs Bears props for the NFC Divisional Round
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Caleb Williams |
Over 32.5 pass attempts | +102 |
| Luther Burden III |
Over 38.5 receiving yards | -114 |
 Colby Parkinson |
Over 19.5 receiving yards | -114 |
Caleb Williams Over 32.5 pass attempts (+102)
Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams peaked at 38 pass attempts in the regular season, but he went to the air a staggering 48 times vs. the Packers in the Wild Card round.
That was obviously not part of the Bears' gameplan, nor was falling behind 21-3 while continually failing on fourth down.
While I don't expect Williams to throw 40+ times again, I still see him making at least 33 pass attempts vs. the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday night.
Williams crossed this threshold in 11 of 17 games in the regular season, including six of his final seven starts.
I think Williams will once again be working with a negative game script, as L.A.'s top-rated offense by yards per play (6.2) and points per game (30.5) takes on a Chicago defense ranked 30th (6.0) and 23rd (24.4) in the corresponding categories.
Luther Burden III Over 38.5 receiving yards (-114)
Luther Burden III has been an overlooked contributor to the Chicago offense in recent weeks, and I'm confident he'll get enough looks from Williams to justify backing his receiving yards Over.
Burden has seen at least five targets in seven of his last eight overall, including seven targets last Saturday night. He's gotten to 39 or more yards in five of those eight contests.
The Rams ranked 23rd in the regular season in yards allowed per game to wide receivers.
Colby Parkinson Over 19.5 receiving yards (-114)
With his clutch, sideline-skimming touchdown from the Wild Card round in mind, I'm backing the Over on this stunningly low receiving yards line for Rams tight end Colby Parkinson.
It's up for debate who the TE1 is in L.A. since Tyler Higbee's return. Both Parkinson and Higbee were targeted three times vs. the Panthers, and the former beat the latter 7-6 in targets in Week 18.
Regardless of depth chart position, Rams tight ends get some of the highest field time in the NFL with Sean McVay relying heavily on the "13" formation.
Parkinson has hit the Over on this line 10 times since Week 7, and eight straight times overall.
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Rams vs Bears prop betting card
- Williams o32.5 pass att (+102)
- Burden III o38.5 rec yds (-114)
- Parkinson o19.5 rec yds (-114)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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