Thursday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 1 Player Prop Projections

Our best player props for Cowboys vs. Eagles, based on the Covers NFL player prop projections!

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Sep 4, 2025 • 11:09 ET • 4 min read
Cowboys vs Eagles computer picks A.J. Brown
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown (11) throws the football into the stands after scoring a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys.

The first Thursday Night Football matchup of the year is here, with no shortage of markets to bet on for Dallas vs. Philadelphia.

To add another wrinkle to your TNF prop betting, we've got Cowboys vs. Eagles computer picks and player prop projections for every star player tonight.

Our NFL player prop projections include Jalen Hurts using his legs, A.J. Brown feasting, and Dallas floundering.

Cowboys vs Eagles computer picks for Thursday Night Football

Cowboys Cowboys Eagles Eagles
Prescott Under 36.5 pass attempts (-115) Hurts Over 36.5 rush yards (-110)
Williams Under 39.5 rush yards (-110) Barkley Under 96.5 rush yards (-105)
Lamb Under 72.5 rec yards (-110) Brown Over 68.5 rec yards (-110)
Ferguson Under 35.5 rec yards (-110) Goedert Over 36.5 rec yards (-110)

Bet on TNF at bet365!

Bet on Thursday Night Football at bet365, where your wagers are never ordinary! Sign up now and by placing $5 on your first bet, you get $300 in bonus bets — win or lose!

*Eligible U.S. locations only

Cowboys TNF computer picks

Dak Prescott Under 36.5 pass attempts (-115)

Projection: 34.7 yards

Our projections expect Dak to go Under his pass attempts total, a strong possibility both because of the Eagles' strong defense... and their ability to dominate time of possession with a punishing run game.

Javonte Williams Under 39.5 rush yards (-110)

Projection: 30.4 yards

Williams may be RB1 for Dallas, but our projections expect him to struggle against the vaunted Eagles defense — in a game where the Cowboys will also likely have a negative game script for running.

CeeDee Lamb Under 72.5 rec yards (-110)

Projection: 68.9 yards

Despite a game where Dallas will be playing from behind, our projections think Philly will keep the Cowboys' star receiver contained tonight.

Jake Ferguson Under 35.5 rec yards (-110)

Projection: 33.1 yards

Pretty standard night from the 'Boys tight end, as our projections expect neither him nor Lamb to make a huge impact.


More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers


Eagles TNF computer picks

Jalen Hurts Over 36.5 rush yards (-110)

Projection: 45.1 yards

The Eagles' star is one of the league's premier dual-threat QBs, and he'll put his legs to use tonight to go over a number he's topped in 10 of his last 13 games.

Saquon Barkley Under 96.5 rush yards (-105)

Projection: 84.3 yards

Could Hurts' rushing come at the expense of Saquon? Our projections expect him to fall short of his number — possibly due to a lower usage in the fourth quarter, assuming the Eagles are comfortably ahead.

A.J. Brown Over 68.5 rec yards (-110)

Projection: 80.2 yards

Dallas' defense is suspect (especially with Micah Parsons gone), and our projections expect Philly's star receiver to take advantage of that tonight.

Alternate-total bet
Brown to get 80+ yards is available at +140, which is showing a decent amount of value.

Dallas Goedert Over 36.5 rec yards (-110)

Projection: 45.3 yards

Our projections also expect Goedert to go above his receiving yardage total, facing a Cowboys LB core that doesn't particularly stand out as exceptional.

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo