If this week’s Sunday Night Football matchup is anything resembling last week’s showdown, then we are in for a fun evening.
The Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings will square off this Sunday, following last week’s thrilling Ravens vs. Bills classic.
There are once again plenty of SNF prop betting opportunities available at sportsbooks for this week's matchup.
Below, we will highlight Falcons vs. Vikings computer picks and player prop projections for both teams' top offensive players.
Falcons vs Vikings computer picks for Sunday Night Football
 Falcons |
 Vikings |
|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr. Over 221.5 passing yards (-115) | J.J. McCarthy Over 212.5 passing yards (-114) |
| Bijan Robinson Under 67.5 rushing yards (-113) | Aaron Jones Over 35.5 rushing yards (-114) |
| Drake London Over 69.5 receiving yards (-115) | Justin Jefferson Over 72.5 receiving yards (-114) |
| Bijan Robinson Over 3.5 receptions (-114) | T.J. Hockenson Over 41.5 receiving yards (-110) |
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Falcons SNF computer picks
Michael Penix Jr. Over/Under 221.5 passing yards (Over -115)
Projection: 230.5 yards
A young quarterback going up against a Brian Flores defense does not typically turn out well for the signal-caller. While Penix might turn the ball over, I don’t think Raheem Morris will shy away from letting Penix chuck it against the Vikings.
In a meeting between these teams last season, Kirk Cousins was picked off by the Vikings defense twice and threw no TDs.
Cousins did, however, throw for 344 yards.
Penix threw the ball a whopping 42 times last week against the Buccaneers and rang up 298 yards through the air. The Falcons' signal-caller eclipsing 221.5 passing yards on Sunday night should be more than doable.
Bijan Robinson Over/Under 67.5 rushing yards (Under -113)
Projection: 60 yards
Flores took away Robinson in the passing game last year, as the RB was targeted just two times. That will likely be the plan again this time around.
If Robinson does have a big game, it will likely come the traditional RB way — on the ground.
Robinson carried the ball 22 times for 92 yards and a TD last year against the Vikings.
The computer and I clash here — I'm taking the Over.
Drake London Over/Under 69.6 receiving yards (Over -115)
Projection: 76 yards
London is listed as questionable due to an injured shoulder, but the expectation is that he’ll play. Morris called London the “ultimate tough guy” this week, so if the star receiver suits up, I don’t think the injury will impact his production much at all.
The Falcons wideout will be looking to rebound from a relatively average outing last week, in which he caught eight balls on 15 targets. London finished with 55 yards receiving against Tampa Bay.
I expect Penix to target London a ton once again, but this time, I like London to produce more yardage. Will roll with the bot here and take the Over.
Bijan Robinson Over 3.5 receptions (-114)
Projection: 3.7 receptions
Like I said earlier, I expect Flores to allow Robinson to do damage on the ground rather than in the air. Flores is well aware that the Falcons’ offense runs at its optimal level when Robinson is featured in the passing game.
In the game against the Vikings last season, Robinson was targeted just two times. That was tied for his season-low.
I'm going against the computer and taking the Under.
More Sunday Night Football picks from Covers
Vikings SNF computer picks
J.J. McCarthy Over/Under 212.5 passing yards (Over -114)
Projection: 249.6 yards
The Falcons’ defense looked decent in Week 1 against the Buccaneers, allowing Baker Mayfield to put up just 167 yards through the air. J.J. McCarthy, meanwhile, played smart, winning football in the Vikings’ win over the Bears.
However, the former Michigan star threw for just 143 yards. I would go against the computer here and take the Under.
I doubt Kevin O’Connell will let McCarthy air it out too much during his first season under center in the NFL. He threw the ball just 20 times during Week 1.
Aaron Jones Over/Under 35.5 rushing yards (Over -114)
Projection: 39.8 yards
The days of Jones being a true bell cow seem to be in the past. He ran the ball just eight times on Monday against Chicago and wound up with just 23 yards.
Jordan Mason got the brunt of the Vikings’ carries on Monday night, taking the ball from McCarthy 15 times for 58 yards.
Jones will also be facing a new-look Atlanta defense that held Bucky Irving to 37 yards on 14 carries and Rachaad White to 14 yards on two carries.
Give me Under 35.5 rushing yards.
Justin Jefferson Over/Under 72.5 receiving yards (Over -114)
Projection: 88.3 yards
While I don’t think this will be an all-time Jefferson game, I certainly think he’ll be capable of putting up more than 72.5 receiving yards.
Jefferson was held to just 44 yards receiving against the Bears on Monday night. He rarely has back-to-back lackluster games, and this game will be played in the friendly confines of the US Bank Stadium.
Jefferson is a monster on his home turf, as he surpassed 73 yards in each Vikings home game last season.
T.J. Hockenson Over/Under 41.5 receiving yards (Over -110)
Projection: 41.5 yards
As I wrote above, I don’t think McCarthy is going to be slinging it around the ballyard all night.
When he does throw the ball, the Vikings QB might try to force-feed Jefferson, and guys like Hockenson will be left to the wayside. Hockenson was targeted just four times on Monday against the Bears, and he finished with 15 yards receiving.
Even during the years when Hockenson was fully healthy, he typically got off to slow starts each season. I like the Under.
Not intended for use in MA.
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