Week 1 of the 2025-26 NFL season is chock full of big-time matchups, but the Baltimore Ravens versus Buffalo Bills Sunday Night Football showdown takes the cake.
When examining SNF prop betting options for this marquee matchup, be sure to check out Ravens vs. Bills computer picks and player prop projections below.
Our NFL player prop projections include an underwhelming game from Derrick Henry, a solid receiving night for Khalil Shakir, and strong passing outings for both Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen.
Ravens vs. Bills computer picks for Sunday Night Football
 Ravens |
 Bills |
|---|---|
| Jackson Over 226.5 pass yards (-110) | Allen Over 30.5 pass attempts (-115) |
| Henry Under 84.5 rush yards (-110) | Cook Over 52.5 rush yards (-114) |
| Flowers Over 56.6 rec yards (-115) | Shakir Over 45.5 rec yards (-110) |
| Andrews Over 3.5 receptions (-145) | Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions (+128) |
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Ravens SNF computer picks
Lamar Jackson Over 226.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 241.9 yards
Jackson went Over this number in the Ravens’ Divisional Round playoff loss to the Bills this past January, throwing for 254 yards.
Baltimore also played the Bills last September, with Jackson throwing for just 156 yards in a Ravens win.
Derrick Henry Under 84.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 71.4 yards
This is a big number, but it’s warranted. King Henry dominated Buffalo on the ground last season, rushing for 84 yards against them in the playoffs and for a whopping 199 yards in a Sept. 29 game.
The computer likely thinks the Bills' defensive additions of LB Shaq Thompson and DE Joey Bosa will help stymie Henry.
Zay Flowers Over 56.5 receiving yards (-115)
Projection: 66.2 yards
Flowers is a classic boom or bust player, as he logged five 100+ yard receiving days last season, as well as eight sub-40-yard receiving days.
The computer likes him to “boom” here even though he had just 10 receiving yards against Buffalo last September.
Mark Andrews Over 3.5 receptions (-145)
Projection: 3.7 receptions
Andrews had five catches against the Bills in the playoff game last January, but zero grabs against Buffalo last September.
Going in Andrews’ favor for a big night on Sunday is the fact that fellow Ravens TE Isaiah Likely is unlikely to play due to injury.
More Sunday Night Football picks from Covers
Bills SNF computer picks
Josh Allen Over 30.5 passing attempts (-115)
Projection: 31.9 pass attempts
The computer notes that opposing quarterbacks averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game against the Ravens' defense last year, the second-most in the NFL.
Allen threw the ball 22 times against Baltimore in the playoffs and 29 times in the game last September.
James Cook Over 52.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 57.9 yards
With an outstanding record of 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (89th percentile), Cook was one of the best pure rushers in the league last year.
The Bills' running back rushed for 67 yards against the Ravens in the January playoff game.
Khalil Shakir Over 45.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 48.3 yards
This number could increase if Ravens CB Jaire Alexander (knee) is unable to go Sunday night.
Only three receivers had a higher target-per-route-run than Shakir last season, so Allen should be looking his way early and often.
Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions (+128)
Projection: 3.6 receptions
Kincaid had five grabs against the Ravens in the regular season game last September, but just one catch against Baltimore in the playoffs.
Not intended for use in MA.
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