Two teams in desperation mode for a victory will square off this week on Sunday Night Football as the 0-2 Kansas City Chiefs take on the 0-2 New York Giants at MetLife Stadium.
The visiting Chiefs are -5.5 betting favorites, and there are plenty of SNF prop bets available to bet on.
Our NFL player prop projections forecast strong outings for Patrick Mahomes, Isiah Pacheco, Cam Skattebo and Malik Nabers.
Check out more SNF computer picks below.
Chiefs vs Giants computer picks for Sunday Night Football
 Chiefs |
 Giants |
|---|---|
| Mahomes Over 232.5 passing yards (-114) | Wilson Under 228.5 passing yards (-113) |
| Pacheco Over 35.5 rushing yards (-115) | Skattebo Over 35.5 rushing yards (-114) |
| Pacheco Over 8.5 receiving yards (-122) | Nabers Over 75.5 receiving yards (-112) |
| Kelce Over 42.5 receiving yards (-114) | Johnson Over 2.5 receptions (+116) |
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Chiefs SNF computer picks
Patrick Mahomes Over 232.5 passing yards (-114)
Projection: 243.0 yards
The Giants defense has allowed an average of 283 yards per game thus far.
Meanwhile, Mahomes threw for 258 yards in Week 1 against the Chargers, and for just 187 yards last week against the Eagles.
I agree with the computer that Mahomes should be able to get back on track.
Alternate-total bet
250+ yards (+134): Solid value for a number Mahomes used to hit in his sleep.
Isiah Pacheco Over 35.5 rushing yards (-115)
Projection: 41.0 yards
As bad as the Giants pass defense has been, their run defense has been even worse. It’s a small sample size but the G-Men are currently dead last in the NFL when it comes to rush yardage allowed (177.5 yards per game).
Pacheco, meanwhile, has been slow out of the gate to start the season. The Chiefs RB is averaging just 23.5 yards per game on the ground. He also hasn’t eclipsed 35.5 rushing yards in his last eight outings.
This number just seems too high, as I expected it to be in the high 20s. I'm going against the computer and taking the Under.
Isiah Pacheco Over 8.5 receiving yards (-122)
Projection: 13.5 yards
Andy Reid will be looking for different ways to jumpstart this offense, and one way could be for him to have Mahomes throw to Chiefs running backs early and often.
The last time Pacheco was fully healthy (2023) and the Chiefs offense was clicking, he topped 8.5 receiving yards in 12 of 18 games, including the playoffs.
I expect Reid to go back to this old recipe with his team desperate for a win. I’ll agree with the computer here and take the Over.
Travis Kelce Over 42.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 48.6 yards
The Giants defense allowed 81 yards to tight ends against the Cowboys last week, and 26 yards to tight ends in Week 1 against the Commanders.
Kelce put up 47 yards of receiving in Week 1 and 61 yards of receiving in Week 2. Eclipsing this number is more than doable.
I’m in lockstep with Mr. Computer here.
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Giants SNF computer picks
Russell Wilson Under 228.5 passing yards (-113)
Projection: 214.3 yards
In Week 1 against the Washington Commanders, Wilson threw for just 168 yards. He more than made up for it in Week 2 against the Dallas Cowboys, throwing for a whopping 450 yards — which was nearly a career high.
By all measures, Week 2 looks to be an extreme outlier, and Wilson is far more like the player we saw in Week 1 than in Week 2. The Dallas defense will make any QB look like a world-beater right now, but this week Wilson won’t be as fortunate going up against Steve Spagnuolo’s unit.
Our player props predictor gets it right here with the Under.
Cam Skattebo Over 35.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 40.6 yards
Skattebo had just two carries for -3 yards in Week 1 against the Commanders. His touches skyrocketed in Week 2 against Dallas as he ran the ball 11 times for 45 yards.
Expect Brian Daboll to continue to feed Skattebo. The computer and I like the Over.
Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+232): Daboll will be looking to keep Mahomes off the field, and I fully expect Scattebo to run the ball at least 15 times. Getting the ball that much should allow him to surpass 50 yards. Nice price for a number that is not that large.
Malik Nabers Over 75.5 receiving yards (-112)
Projection: 82.9 yards
Nabers was the primary beneficiary last week against the Cowboys as he recorded 167 yards receiving. In Week 1 against the Commanders, Nabers finished with 71 receiving yards.
Surely, Spagnulo will try and take away — or at least limit — Nabers with double teams. The Chiefs D has done a decent job so far this season in limiting each team’s top receiving threat.
Kansas City limited AJ Brown last week to five catches and 27 yards. In Week 1, it was Quentin Johnson who was the Chargers’ leading receiver against the Chiefs D, as KC opted to focus on Ladd McConkey and Keenan Allen.
While Nabers might be the best receiver in the league, 75.5 yards is too high of a number against a quality defensive coordinator like Spagnuolo.
I’m going against the computer and taking the Under.
Theo Johnson Over 2.5 receptions (+116)
Projection: 2.6 receptions
With the Chiefs defense occupied with Nabers, that should leave Wilson’s secondary options open. Tight end Theo Johnson could very well benefit.
Johnson had a quiet Week 1 with just one reception for five yards. He was targeted three times.
Theo's targets jumped to five this past Sunday, and he caught four of them for 34 yards.
The former Penn State TE was quite consistent in the final five games he played last season. He had at least three catches in each of those contests.
Getting at least three grabs against KC is more than doable. The computer and I love this for plus money.
Not intended for use in MA.
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