Anytime Touchdown Scorer Packers vs Vikings Picks for Week 1

Geoff Clark - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Geoff Clark • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 13, 2026 , 12:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Geoff Clark spotlights Jayden Reed and Jordan Mason anytime TD props, Mason as the first scorer, and a Packers-Vikings touchdown combo.

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed (11).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed (11).

The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings offer plenty of intriguing touchdown options, but the best plays come from less obvious names. 

Thus, my Packers vs. Vikings touchdown picks target Jayden Reed and Jordan Mason to find paydirt in Minneapolis. 

Let's dive right into my latest NFL picks for Sunday, Sept. 13, and make sure to check out our full Packers vs. Vikings prediction before kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET from U.S. Bank Stadium.

Best Packers vs Vikings anytime touchdown picks

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
 Packers Jayden Reed anytime touchdown 26%
 Vikings Jordan Mason anytime touchdown 39%
 Vikings Jordan Mason first touchdown scorer 11%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Packers touchdown pick: Jayden Reed 

Kalshi probability: 26%

I'll take Jayden Reed's anytime touchdown prop as long as it stays below 30%.

Despite an injury-riddled 2025 season that sidelined him for more than half the year, the Green Bay Packers wideout finished second on the Packers in touchdown catches two years ago (six) and tied for the team lead (eight) in 2023.

Reed also runs most of his routes out of the slot, which is Minnesota Vikings nickel Byron Murphy Jr.'s responsibility. Murphy was Minnesota's lowest-graded starting corner last season, per Pro Football Focus, while Reed has graded out above average in each of his three NFL seasons.

Vikings touchdown pick: Jordan Mason 

Kalshi probability: 39%

Give me Jordan Mason's anytime touchdown prop at 42% or lower.

The Vikings running back led the team with six rushing scores last season and is their primary goal-line running back. According to FTN's 2026 season almanac, Green Bay's defensive line ranked 24th in power rate and 23rd in stuff rate last season.

First-year quarterback Kyler Murray's elusiveness will make Minnesota's rushing attack more dynamic. Reportedly, Vikings head coach Kevin O'Connell made improving their ground game a priority in the offseason, and Murray's presence will ultimately help Mason.

Though Mason has never caught a touchdown pass, perhaps there will be a play-action bootleg that leaves him wide open in the flat.

First touchdown scorer pick: Jordan Mason 

Kalshi probability: 11%

Vikings -1.5 is one of my favorite plays of the week, and I expect Minnesota to strike first in front of its home fans.

Mason ranked eighth in success rate among running backs last season. Heck, even if Mason doesn't break off an explosive run, he could benefit from defensive pass interference in the end zone and make the Green Bay defense pay a play later.

Packers vs Vikings touchdown combo

Jayden Reed 

Jordan Mason

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

A gambler first and a writer second, Geoff's favorite sports to bet on, listed in order, include the NFL, NBA, PGA Tour, college basketball, college football, MLB and horse racing. As a Saratoga, N.Y., transplant living in Long Beach, Calif., Geoff is most active on the prediction markets. The native New Yorker stays loyal to his childhood teams, the Yankees, Giants, Knicks and Rangers. Clark added St. John's University basketball to his favorite teams after graduating from school in 2008 with a bachelor's degree in sports management. Geoff has been writing and podcasting in sports betting media since 2019 with stops at USA TODAY and Fox News, and TV appearances on VSIN. 

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