We've got an interesting non-conference matchup for Monday Night Football odds when the Green Bay Packers visit Sin City to battle the Las Vegas Raiders.
We've already broken down the matchup in our Packers vs. Raiders predictions and Jordan Love prop picks, but I'll give you my three favorite player props in my free NFL picks for Monday Night Football below.
Packers vs Raiders MNF props
- Love Under 235.5 passing yards
- Reed Under 37.5 receiving yards
- Jones Under 49.5 rushing yards
Picks made on October 8 at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Best Monday Night Football bonuses
Adams 50+ rec yards, Garopollo/Love 200+ pass yards each (was -110, NOW +150)! Claim Now
Davante Adams to score a TD (was -105, NOW +175)! Claim Now
Davante Adams to score a TD and 46+ total points (was +195, NOW +240)! Claim Now
50% profit boost for one "First Team in Red Zone" bet! Claim Now
Place a pre-game MNF SGP, get a 50% matched bonus bet! Claim Now
Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Packers vs Raiders MNF props
Prop bet #1: No love for Love
Jordan Love has eclipsed this prop passing mark in three of his four contests this season, but the Las Vegas Raiders will likely be his stiffest test.
The Raiders pass defense has been stout away from Vegas, and I expect the same type of defensive effort Monday night at home against Love and a Green Bay Packers offense averaging 225.5 passing yards per contest.
The Raiders passing defense held Russell Wilson to 177 passing yards in Denver, Josh Allen to 273 in Buffalo, and just 167 to Justin Herbert in SoCal.
Las Vegas allows a robust 202 passing yards per game, with 13 passes defended but just one interception. They average nearly two sacks per game and face a Packers offensive line that hasn't protected its QB very well and allowed five sacks last week at home to Detroit.
Love has been steady yet unspectacular, averaging 6.8 yards per completion on a 56% completion rate. He’ll throw anywhere from 27-40 passes on Monday, and if he completes 50% of them on a 6.8 average, he won’t get anywhere near 235.5 yards.
Finally, look for the Raiders defensive line to harass Love throughout this contest. Love has decent wideouts but not anywhere near the talent Las Vegas has already faced this season, and I believe they won’t have much love for the Green Bay signal-caller Monday night.
Prop bet #2: Reed thin
Jayden Reed has gone Over the bookmakers' total in three of his first four games, but he’s up against a strong Raiders secondary, and I don’t believe he gets Over this number in Week 5.
Reed averages 16.9 yards per reception and has hauled in a dozen of his 24 targets. He fumbled for the first time this season last week against Detroit and saw his fewest targets of the season (five).
Wideout Romeo Dobbs has 25 targets over the past two weeks and is starting to get comfortable with Love, and wideout Christian Watson returning could vulture some targets away for Reed.
Vegas allows 6.8 passing yards per attempt this season and 8.1 yards per catch at home, but that home game was against Pittsburgh which included a 74-yard TD reception by Steelers wideout Calvin Austin III. Outside of that, the Raiders defense was solid, and they meet a similar offense in the Packers on Monday.
Between the stout Raiders secondary and the return of Watson, I expect Reed to see fewer targets than his 6.25 per game. He’ll likely get between three and five; if he catches two at his average, his receiving prop will fall Under the oddsmakers' number.
Prop bet #3: Jones no more
Aaron Jones has hamstring issues — with just 14 rushing attempts this season — and is listed as questionable.
Last week, Jones scampered for 18 yards on five carries and rushed for 41 yards on nine attempts in Week 1 against Chicago. He missed his Week 2 and Week 3 matchups and hasn’t looked like the 1,000-yard rusher from a season ago.
Las Vegas allows 4.2 rushing yards per attempt, and while they haven’t faced a running back that brings a pedigree like Jones does to the table, the interior defense seems to be getting healthier and was effective last week against Denver, holding Broncos RB Javonte Williams to 52 yards on 13 attempts.
Green Bay has used Jones sparingly this season — he’s been dealing with the hamstring issue since the start of the season and missed a couple of games because of it. He left the game against Detroit with the same hamstring issue, and if he dresses at all, we'll see just 5-10 rushing attempts. 50 yards seems like a stretch for Jones on Monday and why I’m betting Under 49.5 rushing yards.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Kentucky: Mobile sports betting is live!
Check out the best Kentucky sportsbook promos, with a number of odds boosts and offers available!
21+ and present in KY. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.