A classic NFC North clash opens the Week 13 schedule with the Green Bay Packers visiting the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on Thursday, November 27.
My top Packers vs. Lions props and NFL picks have you covered for the Thanksgiving opener with a trio of Overs to kick-start the holiday festivities.
Packers vs Lions Thanksgiving Day props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Jordan Love |
Over 19.5 pass completions | -110 |
 David Montgomery |
Over 9.5 rushing attempts | -110 |
| Jameson Williams |
Over 50.5 receiving yards | -110 |
Jordan Love Over 19.5 pass completions (-110)
While the Green Bay Packers haven’t needed quarterback Jordan Love to attack through the air in recent weeks, Green Bay is an underdog for just the second time all season, and his completions total hasn’t been this low since Week 7.
Additionally, Love sailed Over this number in three straight games when the Pack had competitive tilts in Weeks 8 through 10. He posted a rock-solid 72.8 completion percentage and solid 5.6 CPOE during the stretch, too.
David Montgomery Over 9.5 rushing attempts (-110)
The Detroit Lions have leaned on running back Jahmyr Gibbs the past two weeks for 27 carries and 20 targets across 91 offensive snaps, while backfield mate David Montgomery has checked in with just 11 carries and four targets over 45 offensive snaps.
I’m anticipating Detroit narrowing the gap on a short week against a tough Green Bay defense in an important divisional game.
Gibbs exploding for 410 yards from scrimmage the past two weeks has left few opportunities for Montgomery, but it’s also left Montgomery fresh for Thursday’s NFC North showdown, and the one-two punch out of the backfield has been a strength for the Detroit offense since Gibbs and Montgomery debuted in The Motor City in 2023.
Jameson Williams Over 50.5 receiving yards (-110)
The target tree is a lot narrower in the Lions passing attack with tight end Sam LaPorta (back) sidelined and wide receivers Kalif Raymond (ankle) and Isaac TeSlaa (hand) both nursing injuries on a short week.
It should present more opportunities for wideout Jameson Williams in the passing game, and he’s a big-play threat averaging an elite 18.1 yards per reception and 8.0 YAC per reception.
Add a rock-solid 13.6 aDoT to him hauling in 33.3% of his team’s air yards, and I like Williams leaving his mark on Thursday’s game.
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Packers vs Lions Thanksgiving Day prop betting card
- Love o19.5 completions (-110)
- Montgomery o9.5 rush att (-110)
- Williams o50.5 rec yds (-110)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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