The first (turkey) leg of the annual Thanksgiving Day tripleheader always belongs to the Detroit Lions, who host their NFC North rival Green Bay Packers.
Our NFL prop projections have identified the best Thanksgiving Day props for this game, including some lofty expectations for the Lions' passing attack.
Packers vs Lions computer picks for Thanksgiving Day Football
 Packers |
 Lions |
|---|---|
| Love o230.5 pass -110 |
Goff o239.5 pass -110 |
| Love o11.5 rush -110 |
Gibbs o33.5 rec -110 |
| Jacobs o55.5 rush -110 |
St. Brown o75.5 rec -110 |
| Watson o51.5 rec -110 |
Wright o23.5 rec -110 |
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Packers computer picks
Jordan Love Over 230.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 251.6 yards
Love has not topped 176 yards in three straight games, but he will need to throw to keep up with Detroit's high-octane offense — and our projections expect him to do so.
Alternate-total bet
250+ yards (+150) - This prop shows good value.
Jordan Love Over 11.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 14.3 yards
Our projections also expect Love to scramble today, topping a number he's hit in seven of 11 games this season.
Josh Jacobs Over 55.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 59 yards
After missing a week due to injury, our projections expect Jacobs to return to action by going Over his rushing yardage prop.
Christian Watson Over 51.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 58.9 yards
Watson has emerged as the de facto WR1 for the Packers right now and is forecasted to go above his yardage total this week.
More Thanksgiving Day Football picks from Covers
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Lions computer picks
Jared Goff Over 239.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 295.5 yards
The Lions' QB has hit this number in five straight games, and we're projecting him to go WAY over.
Alternate-total bets
250+ yards (+115) - This number shows incredible value.
275+ yards (+220) - This price is an absurd value.
300+ yards (+400) - Also a high-value play to make.
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 33.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 41.1 yards
Our projections aren't big on Gibbs' rushing total, but they do like him to go beyond the 30-yard mark for the seventh time in his last 10 games.
Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+140) - This price shows moderate value.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 75.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 97.7 yards
After a ho-hum stretch, St. Brown broke out for 149 yards last week — and we're expecting him to approach the 100-yard mark again on Thanksgiving.
Alternate-total bet
80+ yards (+105) - Great value on this prop.
90+ yards (+165) - The best value among his alt-totals.
100+ yards (+240) - Strong value (although not showing as much as the other two props)
Brock Wright Over 23.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 36.3 yards
Now that he's the TE1 for Detroit, with Sam LaPorta out for the year, we're forecasting Wright to top this total for the second straight game.
Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+130) - Another prop showing excellent value.
Not intended for use in MA.
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