Anytime Touchdown Scorer Eagles vs Commanders Prediction: TD Picks for Week 16

Saquon Barkley has regained his paydirt prowess in recent weeks, and we expect that to continue against a weak Washington run defense.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Dec 18, 2025 • 15:15 ET • 4 min read
Saquon Barkley Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26).

The Philadelphia Eagles are a sizable road favorite over the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium on Saturday.

Philly is looking to become the first back-to-back NFC East champion since winning the division four straight times from 2001–04, and star running back Saquon Barkley headlines my top Eagles vs. Commanders anytime touchdown picks for this weekend’s tilt.

Find out more in my NFL picks for December 20. 

Eagles anytime touchdown pick

Saquon Barkley (-120 at FanDuel)

The Washington Commanders have surrendered nine touchdowns to opposing running backs over the past five games, ranking 26th in rush defense DVOA while allowing the fourth-highest EPA per rush.

It’s a sweet spot for Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley. He’s scored in consecutive weeks, is averaging a healthy 4.8 yards per carry, and saw 10 red-zone touches last week against the Las Vegas Raiders.

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Commanders anytime touchdown pick

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (+410 at FanDuel)

There was a Week 15 resurgence from Commanders rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and this is a long number for the back to find the end zone for a second consecutive game. Backfield mate Chris Rodriguez missed last week’s game with a groin injury, and while he’s off the Week 16 injury report, Croskey-Merritt is going to see double-digit carries against the Eagles.

Philadelphia has allowed a healthy 14 rushing touchdowns this season, including three scores to running backs in consecutive losses to the Chicago Bears and Los Angeles Chargers, before blanking the Raiders in Week 15.

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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