We’ve got some exciting games ahead of us this Sunday, and we’re going to take a look at the odds available on First Touchdown scorers, then break down the three that offer the best mix of value and opportunity.
Here are my latest NFL picks for Sunday, November 30.
Best Week 13 first TD scorer props
Kyren Williams
Justin Jefferson
TD prop #1: Travis Etienne Jr. first TD scorer
We have an AFC South clash this Sunday with the Jacksonville Jaguars facing a road trip to the 1-10 Tennessee Titans. The Jaguars have shown glimpses of improvement over the past month, winning three of their previous four games.
We’re taking Travis Etienne Jr. to open up the scoring here.
The Jaguars are not only favorites, but Etienne has been on a heater. He’s scored four touchdowns in his last three games, including a mix of rushing scores and one receiving touchdown.
Only one team has allowed more rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs than the Titans, who have allowed 13 in 11 games, as well as two passing touchdowns to opposing running backs.
TD prop #2: Kyren Williams first TD scorer
Kyren Williams offers outstanding value to score the first touchdown when the Los Angeles Rams travel to face the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are the second biggest underdogs this week, with the Rams far more likely to open the scoring, especially given that they rank first in both offensive and defensive DVOA.
The Panthers have also allowed an average of one touchdown to opposing running backs per game. That bodes well for the Rams, with Williams scoring first in more games than any other player in the NFL this season.
Williams has found the end zone first in four of 11 games so far. He’s in great form too, boasting four TDs in his past four contests.
TD prop #3: Justin Jefferson first TD scorer
The Seattle Seahawks enter Sunday as the biggest chalk, carrying the largest spread of the weekend. Minnesota Vikings reserve quarterback Max Brosmer will be getting the start, hence the Seahawks being so heavily favored.
However, Brosmer was a solid quarterback in college, and the market has perhaps swung too far the other way.
Justin Jefferson has only scored two touchdowns this season thanks to some truly terrible quarterback play, but as an elite talent, a change under center could finally unlock his full potential. Jefferson found the end zone 10 times last year, and at massive odds, we have to consider betting on him this time around.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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