Colts vs Chiefs Props & Best Bets for Week 12

We've got an early-afternoon all-AFC affair that could have a ripple effect on the playoff picture when the Indianapolis Colts head down to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs this Sunday.

My Colts vs. Chiefs props believe we're in for an aerial assault from both sides. See why my NFL picks believe Patrick Mahomes will lean on Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice for success, and how Daniel Jones will do his best to keep up.

Colts vs Chiefs props

Player	Pick
Travis Kelce	Over 51.5 receiving yards	-114
Rashee Rice	Anytime touchdown	+110
Daniel Jones	Over 241.5 passing yards	-114

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Prop bet #1: Travis Kelce Over 51.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Travis Kelce will rack up the receiving yards as Patrick Mahomes' safety blanket vs. a fearsome Indianapolis Colts pass rush.

The Kansas City Chiefs have been a pass-first team all year, ranking fifth in pass attempts per game. The Colts have seen the second-most opposing pass attempts per game this season despite ranking Top 6 in sacks, pressure rate, and hurried throw rate.

However, Indy is eighth-worst in missed tackles in 2025, and Kelce is third among all tight ends in yards after catch this year. It does help explain why the Colts are second-last in football in yards allowed per game to tight ends this season.

Kelce has cleared this line in six straight, and I like him to make it seven in a row on Sunday afternoon.

Prop bet #2: Rashee Rice anytime touchdown

+110 at FanDuel

Rashee Rice will be a key contributor to this Chiefs offense on Sunday afternoon, and the sportsbooks are all over it. 

Rice's receiving yards total is a lofty 74.5, and the receptions market is even more unappealing at -154 for Over 6.5 grabs. I'd rather snag the plus-odds available on his anytime TD market, as I value how often Mahomes has looked his way in the red zone this year.

Rice has been targeted inside the 20-yard line nine times in just four games, hauling in seven passes for three TDs. The numbers look even better when filtered down to inside the 10-yard line, with five catches from six targets with two scores.

For comparison's sake, Hollywood Brown and Travis Kelce each have only eight red-zone targets in 2025, and neither has missed a game to this point in the campaign.

Prop bet #3: Daniel Jones Over 241.5 passing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Daniel Jones has cleared this passing yards line in four straight games, and I think he'll make it five on Sunday.

Jones threw the ball only 26 times vs. the Falcons in Week 10, his second-lowest output of the season, and he still managed 255 passing yards. The Duke product had the luxury of handing the ball off to Jonathan Taylor 32 times vs. an overmatched Atlanta stop unit — he'll have no such luck vs. the Chiefs.

This is also not a scary matchup for Jones. Kansas City comes into this ranked 22nd in yards allowed per pass and 27th in hurried throw rate. Even if K.C. does win the battle in the trenches from time to time, Jones is fifth-best by yards per pass while under pressure this year.

The game script, matchup, low line, and even the weather are all working in his favor.

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