Bill Belichick holds impressive ATS record against rookie quarterbacks
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting16+ years betting experience
Updated:
Sep 22, 2017 , 11:12 AM ET
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Created Date Sep 21, 03:06 PM
Published Date Sep 21, 09:12 PM
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Bill Belichick holds impressive ATS record against rookie quarterbacks
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Synopsis
Deshaun Watson of the Houston Texans is seeking to become the first rookie quarterback to win at Foxborough in the Bill Belichick era. Covers did a deep drive to find out how profitable it's been fading first-year QBs against the New England Patriots since the start of the 2000 season.
Content
New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is a football genius and he loves making fools out of opposing rookie quarterbacks. The Houston Texans hope Deshaun Watson will become the first rookie signal caller to win at New England in the Belichick era. **video
Opposing first year quarterbacks are 0-8 straight up and 2-6 against the spread at Foxborough since Belichick became the Pats head coach in 2000. Those eight quarterbacks have passed for a total five touchdown passes and 16 interceptions with a collective 50.7 passer rating.
Belichick feasts off fresh-faced quarterbacks going 16-5 SU and 12-9 ATS in all games with the first coming against Chris Weinke and the Carolina Panthers in 2001.
Oddsmakers made the Texans (+13.5) the fifth consecutive team with a rookie quarterback to be double-digit underdogs against the Patriots. New England is 10-0 straight up and 7-3 against the spread when giving 10 or more points and facing a newbie under center.
Geno Smith (2013 Jets), Russell Wilson (2012 Seahawks), Colt McCoy (2010 Browns), Mark Sanchez (2009 Jets) and Ben Roethlisberger (2004 Steelers) are the only rookie quarterbacks to get the best of Belichick with the Pats.
The Over cashed in nine of the first 12 games Belichick against rookie QBs but the Under is 7-2 in the last nine scenarios. The total for this week’s Texans-Patriots game is set at 44.
Watson played against the Patriots in the preseason and completed three of his 10 pass attempts for 102 yards. He also rushed for a touchdown as well.
“I expect [Belichick] to throw all types of things at me,” Watson told the Houston Chronicle. “Different coverages, different schemes, different looks, and not try to stay in a base look where we kind of know what we’re doing.”
The thought of sending out a rookie quarterback to lead his team against New England can’t be comforting to Texans head coach Bill O’Brien. The Patriots are 3-0 SU and ATS against Houston since O’Brien became the HC in 2014. New England has outscored Houston 88-22 in those three contests.
James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.
His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.
A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.
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