Two 1-2 clubs look to get back to .500 when the Chicago Bears head to Sin City to take on the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.
My Bears vs. Raiders predictions explain why this high-octane Vegas will outscore the shaky Chicago side.
Read below for my free NFL picks for Sunday, September 28, with kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Bears vs Raiders prediction
Bears vs Raiders Best bet: Raiders moneyline (-116)
Let’s just start with this: The Chicago Bears’ defense is bad. They rank 9th-worst in total DVOA through three weeks, and have been equally bad against the pass and the run. To make matters worse, they just lost their top corner in Jaylon Johnson to injury last week, and defensive end Grady Jarrett has also been ruled out for Sunday’s contest.
That should put Chicago in a difficult position. The Raiders’ passing game isn’t exactly in the upper echelon of the game, but it's getting there with top-10 marks in yards per attempt and passing yards per game. This is a team that throws with the fifth-most frequency in the NFL, and it loves to air it out behind Geno Smith.
Chicago has allowed its opponents to convert five of eight pass attempts of 20+ yards, good for the league’s fourth-worst completion percentage on deep balls, and that should be all we need to believe in Las Vegas on that side of the field.
While the defense hasn’t been stellar by any means, they’re still around the league average against the run and may see that ranking improve with D’Andre Swift in danger of missing this one with a hip injury. Chicago’s offense has been more or less solid, but they benefited from facing a weak Dallas Cowboys defense in Week 3 and are down rookie tight end Colston Loveland in addition to the potential loss of Swift.
Expect Las Vegas to run wild on this secondary and emerge victorious.
Bears vs Raiders same-game parlay
The game plan here is going to call for plenty of passing, so we’ll plant our flag with two of Las Vegas’ top options in the passing game. Chicago has allowed six catches for roughly 76 yards on average to the WR1 position this season, and Jakobi Meyers – who has gone over this mark twice and seen 26 targets through three weeks – has an easy matchup against the poor Nahshon Wright.
Brock Bowers will also draw a Bears team that has allowed the fourth-most targets and third-most receptions per game to tight ends, and enters with 14 catches on a hefty 21 targets this season. He should be quite active.
Bears vs Raiders SGP
- Raiders moneyline
- Jakobi Meyers Over 67.5 receiving yards
- Brock Bowers Over 5.5 receptions
Our big-ticket SGP: Gunnin Geno!
Zamir White’s role in the Vegas backfield may be expanding, however, with Ahston Jeanty’s ineffectiveness getting him around 30% of the snaps in the last two weeks. White has been effective in the passing game, and with so much volume expected out of Geno Smith, I can’t imagine the odds are this long that White is leaned upon a bit more on passing downs.
Speaking of Smith, he’s thrown for just four touchdowns all year, but Chicago has allowed nearly four touchdowns per game, the fifth-worst mark in the NFL, and Smith already has an easy matchup against this secondary.
Bears vs Raiders SGP
- Raiders moneyline
- Jakobi Meyers Over 67.5 receiving yards
- Brock Bowers Over 5.5 receptions
- Zamir White anytime touchdown
- Geno Smith Over 1.5 touchdown passes
Bears vs Raiders game predictions
Bears vs Raiders moneyline prediction
Vegas will put up too many points on the board for Chicago to keep up with.
Bears vs Raiders spread prediction
With such a slim line, the Raiders can cover the spread in what has been bet down to essentially a pick'em.
Bears vs Raiders Over/Under prediction
The total is up a point from the opening number of 46.5, but I would still bet this up to 48.5 given the inefficiency of both defenses.
Bears vs Raiders odds
- Spread: Bears -1 (-110) | Raiders +1
- Moneyline: Bears -115 | Raiders -105
- Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-110) | Under 46.5 (-110)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Bears vs Raiders trend to know
The Chicago Bears have only covered the 1H Spread in 1 of their last 7 away games (-6.00 Units / -74% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Bears vs. Raiders.
How to watch Bears vs Raiders
| Location | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV |
| Date | Sunday, September 21, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
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