A rivalry that has existed since 1894 gets renewed on November 28 when the Texas Longhorns host the Texas A&M Aggies in a game with CFP implications.
The 11-0 Aggies are ranked third in the latest playoff rankings and have seeding to think about, while the No. 17 Longhorns could use a convincing win — and a whole lot of other help — to have a shot at the dance.
My Texas A&M vs. Texas predictions and college football picks expect the Aggies to put an end to the Longhorns' playoff hopes.
Texas A&M vs Texas predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
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Early Texas A&M vs Texas spread pick: Texas A&M -2.5
There have been glimpses from the Texas Longhorns — enough to make you believe they stand a realistic shot at pulling off the upset here at home.
The thing is, those glimpses have been few and far between, whereas they’ve been an every-week occurrence for the Texas A&M Aggies.
Mike Elko’s squad has been reliably dominant — that is, of course, outside of the first half against South Carolina. The Aggies have recorded at least 6.0 yards per play in every single game against an FBS opponent, giving them the higher floor in this matchup. Overall, they rank 19th in offensive success rate and 10th in defensive success rate.
That’s a far cry from where Texas is, as the Longhorns simply haven’t been very good on either side of the ball. The dormant offense has dominated headlines, but the underperforming defense has emerged as a problem late in the year, allowing an average of 434.3 yards in their last four games.
Does Texas have the talent to pull off the upset? Of course, everyone knows that. But results matter, and A&M’s results have been far more convincing throughout the regular season.
Early Texas A&M vs Texas total pick: Over 51.5
Marcel Reed is a Heisman contender (+1300 at FanDuel Sportsbook) thanks to his consistent efforts. The Aggies have moved the ball well in every single game this season, so here’s betting on another effective day at the office against a cratering Texas defense.
The starters should be well rested after barely playing in last week’s 48-0 cakewalk over Samford. Texas’ offense, meanwhile, is feeling more confident than it has all season after exploding for 52 points and 490 total yards against a quitting-on-the-spot Arkansas team.
Although A&M’s defense has been terrific on a down-to-down basis, it's allowed far too many big plays (135th in explosiveness). The defensive line is dominant and should cause problems for a weak Texas offensive line, but the tackling behind them is a problem.
The Aggies have been one of the best teams to the Over (8-2 O/U) this season, and 51.5 isn’t a very big number to reach. Offensive coordinator Collin Klein will aim to keep his offense rolling heading into the postseason.
For a team that has cashed the Over in five consecutive games, betting on points is the way to go.
Texas A&M vs Texas odds
- Texas A&M vs. Texas spread: Texas +2.5
- Texas A&M vs. Texas moneyline: Texas A&M -134, Texas +112
- Texas A&M vs. Texas Over/Under: 51.5
How to watch Texas A&M vs Texas
- Texas A&M vs. Texas matchup
- Date: Friday, November 28, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- City: West Lafayette
- Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- TV: ABC
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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