Stanford vs Arizona State Picks and Predictions: Sun Devils Shine

Both teams are coming off big Week 5 wins going into this PAC-12 matchup and will be playing on short rest. Can the Sun Devils, 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games, cover the double-digit spread? Find out with our Stanford vs. Arizona State picks.

Last Updated: Oct 6, 2021 9:43 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Jayden Daniels DeaMonte Trayanum Arizona State Sun Devils NCAAF
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Stanford Cardinal (3-2) will look to keep building momentum after securing a huge upset win over the previously undefeated Oregon Ducks in Week 5. 

They’ll face a stiff test on the road in Tempe against the Arizona State Sun Devils (4-1), who are fresh off an impressive 42-23 win over UCLA a week ago.

Will Stanford find another PAC-12 upset, or will the Sun Devils stay hot? 

Find out with our free college football betting picks and predictions for Stanford vs. Arizona State on Friday, October 8.

Stanford vs Arizona State odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Arizona State opened as 10-point favorites but the line has already moved to -12 at most books as of the time of this writing. The total, meanwhile, opened at 52 and has been bet down to 51/51.5. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

Stanford vs Arizona State picks

Picks made on 10/5/2021 at 7:57 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Stanford vs Arizona State game info

Location: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Date: Friday, October 8, 2021
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Stanford vs Arizona State betting preview

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Stanford: Brycen Tremayne WR (Out), Michael Wilson WR (Out), E.J. Smith RB (Questionable), Isaiah Sanders QB (Questionable), Branson Bragg OL (Questionable), Ethan Bonner CB (Questionable), Zahran Manley CB (Questionable).
Arizona State: Jermayne Lole DL (Out), Jake Ray TE (Questionable).

Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Arizona State is 4-0 ATS in its last four conference games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Stanford vs. Arizona State.

Stanford vs Arizona State predictions

This line has quickly moved in the direction of Arizona State, as bettors must be seeing exactly what I’m seeing when evaluating this matchup. Arizona State opened at -10 but the line is currently sitting between -11 and -12.5 across various books.

Both of these hot teams knocked off a ranked conference opponent a week ago and have been rewarded with a short-rest conference game. This scheduling spot does favor Arizona State, though.

Having home-field advantage should take off some of the sting of playing on short rest. It also must be noted that the Sun Devils took care of business fairly easily against a good UCLA team last week, whereas Stanford may face a letdown spot after a thrilling come-from-behind win in overtime against Oregon.

The Sun Devils are simply an underrated team at this point. They’re sitting at 4-1 and their only loss came to a BYU team currently undefeated and ranked in the Top 10. Arizona State held its own in that game, winning the yardage battle 426 to 361, but it came up short after committing four turnovers. 

Solid on both sides of the football, the Sun Devils are averaging 7.3 yards per play offensively while allowing only 4.5 defensively. They have the best offense and defense in the PAC-12. They’re led by dual-threat quarterback Jayden Daniels, who proved in the UCLA game (15.1 yards per attempt) that he's dangerous.

Stanford, meanwhile, has had some nice upset wins, but this is a team that's averaging only 349 yards per game offensively while allowing 406 to opposing teams. Expect the Sun Devils, who are averaging over 200 rushing yards per game, to find consistent success against a shallow Stanford front seven allowing over 200 yards per contest on the ground.

We’re laying the points with the better team at home.

Pace, pace, pace. This Under play is all about pace. Stanford has decided to slow every game down to a crawl to mitigate the effects of a weak rush defense and an extremely shallow defensive line. 

The Cardinals are averaging only 57.2 offensive plays per game, good for last in the entire country. The Sun Devils aren’t playing much faster, sitting at 123 out of 130 teams in the country with only 61 offensive plays per game.

Neither team is looking to push the tempo and will feel comfortable limiting the number of possessions in this contest. Fewer possessions and fewer snaps lead to fewer points, which is why we’re playing the Under in this contest.

This well-rounded Sun Devils team (16th in the country with only 289 yards per game allowed) should stifle this slow, mediocre-at-best Stanford offense. Arizona will look to keep the ball on the ground offensively (112th in the country with only 24 pass attempts per game), which will help bleed the clock.

The Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two schools.

College football parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Stanford vs. Arizona State picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football odds?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of college football prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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