The Southern Miss Golden Eagles still have Sun Belt title hopes. Charles Huff’s bold roster import from Marshall was met with skepticism after a season-opening dud, but perhaps the Golden Eagles were judged too quickly.
Facing the Georgia Southern Eagles should yield a better assessment of that and thus of the Sun Belt’s West Division race.
My Southern Miss vs. Georgia Southern predictions and college football picks trust the pseudo-Marshall roster to continue impressing on Thursday, October 9, as it has in recent weeks.
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Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern prediction
Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern best bet: Southern Miss -3.5 (+100)
The world downgraded Southern Miss when it could not cover the spread against Mississippi State, but the Bulldogs have since proven they are far better than expected, going not only 4-1 outright with the one loss at LSU but also 5-0 against the spread.
Perhaps we judged the Golden Eagles too quickly. After all, they were a popular preseason bet to win the Sun Belt. And, analytically speaking, Southern Miss has improved both offensively and defensively nearly every week since that dud of an opener, nowadays playing like an outright quality team.
Most notably, the Southern Miss rushing attack has improved as the season has progressed, peaking when averaging 0.138 expected points added (EPA) per rush attempt in a 42-25 win against Jacksonville State.
Here comes the great news: Georgia Southern has the worst rushing success rate defense in the country, per CFB-graphs.com.
Take the underappreciated short favorite as its developing strength gets to flex against Georgia Southern’s exact weakness.
Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern same-game parlay
If Braylon Braxton has only one rushing touchdown this season, why include him in a same-game parlay with a touchdown prop as short as +160 on its own? Because Georgia Southern's defense is particularly vulnerable to designed QB runs, and Braxton is certainly mobile. Southern Miss should break him loose a bit, and that will play a role in driving up the scoring.
Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern SGP
- Southern Miss -3.5
- Braylon Braxton anytime touchdown
- Over 59.5
Our deep-ball SGP: Brax the Destroyer
Braxton has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season, though falling short of this passing yards prop in three of five games. In fact, Braxton and Southern Miss would have cashed this entire same-game parlay in their last game, a 42-25 win against Jacksonville State as four-point favorites.
Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern SGP
- Southern Miss -3.5
- Braylon Braxton anytime touchdown
- Over 59.5
- Braylon Braxton Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Braylon Braxton Under 243.5 passing yards
Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern odds
- Spread: Southern Miss -3.5 | Georgia Southern +3.5
- Moneyline: Southern Miss -156 | Georgia Southern +132
- Over/Under: Over 59.5 | Under 59.5
Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern trend to know
Georgia Southern is just 1-3 against the spread vs. FBS opponents, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 10.9 points even when including the sole ATS success. Find more college football betting trends for Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern.
How to watch Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern
| Location | Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA |
| Date | Thursday, October 9, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
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