The regular season concludes with a loaded Week 14 slate featuring marquee matchups up and down the board on both Friday and Saturday.
With so much action, there are more player props than ever to handicap. Here are my five favorite player props and college football picks for Week 14.
Best college football player props for Week 14
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Kamari Moulton |
Over 85.5 rushing yards | -114 |
 Malik Rutherford |
Over 36.5 receiving yards | -114 |
 Emmett Mosley V |
Over 47.5 receiving yards | -114 |
 Raleek Brown |
Over 72.5 rushing yards | -114 |
 Malachi Fields |
Over 47.5 receiving yards | -114 |
Prop bet #1: Kamari Moulton Over 85.5 rushing yards
It’s pretty straightforward handicapping the Nebraska Cornhuskers defensively. They excel at stopping the pass (138.8 passing yards per game allowed) but struggle against the run (167.5), which plays right into the hands of what the Iowa Hawkeyes want to do offensively.
Enter running back Kamari Moulton, the clear-cut RB1 on the team, headed for a big workload against a run-funnel defense. He’s eclipsed 85.5 rushing yards in four of his last six games and has bankable volume, racking up 15+ carries in all six of those contests.
It was known going into the year that Nebraska had an underwhelming defensive line, and that’s played out in the metrics (124th in defensive line yards, 121st in stuff rate). Iowa has an effective offensive line (eighth in line yards, eighth in stuff rate) led by Outland Trophy finalist Logan Jones, whose health is improving after looking hobbled against Michigan State.
The Hawkeyes will win the battle up front, paving lanes for Moulton to rack up yardage against one of the nation’s worst run defenses (131st in EPA per rush).
- Matchup: Iowa vs. Nebraska
- Date/Time: Friday, November 28 at 12:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE
- TV: CBS
Prop bet #2: Malik Rutherford Over 36.5 receiving yards
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have faltered defensively in recent weeks, allowing an average of 510.3 yards across their last three outings. In a matchup against a dynamic Georgia Bulldogs offense, the Yellow Jackets are expected to give up points in bunches again in Week 14. That’ll force the offense to step up and pass the ball more often, especially in a difficult matchup for the running game.
Tech excels when it can lean on its ground game, which ranks fourth nationally in rushing success rate. The thing is, running lanes for Haynes King & Co. will be hard to come by against a Georgia defense allowing only 87.6 rushing yards per game on 3.0 yards per carry.
That’ll force King to the air more often than normal, where there should be openings against a Bulldogs secondary that has been beaten at times this year (62nd in EPA per pass). Enter Malik Rutherford, who's averaged 69 receiving yards in his last four healthy games.
The books have priced his receiving yardage prop at 36.5. That number doesn’t make sense considering his full health, strong track record of performance, and pass-funnel matchup as a wideout for a team projected to be playing from behind as two-touchdown underdogs.
- Matchup: Georgia vs. Georgia Tech
- Date/Time: Friday, November 28 at 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- TV: ABC
Prop bet #3: Emmett Mosley V Over 47.5 receiving yards
Stanford transfer Emmett Mosley V was expected to take on a large role for the Texas Longhorns this season, but injuries derailed his transition to the SEC. Now back fully healthy, Mosley is locked into a full-time role of production for a passing attack that will lean on his services.
Mosley has recorded 53+ receiving yards in four consecutive games, averaging 67.3 in that span. The books have set his receiving yardage prop at 47.5, offering significant value on the Over.
The Texas A&M Aggies are viewed as a difficult matchup, but their biggest weakness as a team has been in the secondary. They check in at 99th in EPA per pass primarily because they allow far too many big plays (135th in passing explosiveness). That plays right into the hands of Mosley, who has recorded at least one reception of 20+ yards in three of his last four games.
- Matchup: Texas A&M vs. Texas
- Date/Time: Friday, November 28 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
- TV: ABC
Prop bet #4: Raleek Brown Over 72.5 rushing yards
USC transfer Raleek Brown became the sixth running back in the last seven years to eclipse 1,000 rushing yards for the Arizona State Sun Devils. Fresh off a 255-year explosion on the ground against Colorado, the talented back will be leaned on again in the Territorial Cup.
The Arizona Wildcats field an effective defense overall, but they’ve been hit for big yardage on the ground repeatedly in the second half of the season. Across their last six games, the Wildcats are surrendering an average of over 190 rushing yards. On the season, they check in at 113th in rushing success rate, which is an issue against a back of Brown’s talent.
The Mater Dei product ran for big yardage earlier in the season against Mississippi State (110), Texas State (144), and TCU (134) before hitting a lull. He’s produced every time that he’s had an advantageous matchup, so here’s betting on Brown exposing a vulnerable Wildcats rush defense in a massive rivalry game with Big 12 title implications.
- Matchup: Arizona vs. Arizona State
- Date/Time: Friday, November 28 at 9:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
- TV: FOX
Prop bet #5: Malachi Fields Over 47.5 receiving yards
Virginia transfer Malachi Fields has helped unlock the passing attack for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, leading the team with 608 receiving yards. The Irish head to Palo Alto for a Week 14 matchup against a Stanford Cardinal in a game which they’ll need to win — ideally in convincing fashion — to keep their playoff hopes alive.
With style points of great importance, don’t expect Notre Dame to shut down the offense and avoid airing it out. That’s especially true against a Stanford defense that is more effective against the run (seventh in EPA per rush) than the pass (102nd).
Fields averages 2.31 yards per route run and will be a mismatch problem for Stanford’s outside corners. He’s gone Over this number in three of his last four games, with the lone exception being a 70-7 blowout of Syracuse in which quarterback CJ Carr attempted only nine passes due to the sheer nature of the blowout.
Stanford proved in last week’s 31-10 win over Cal that it isn’t a total pushover. Fields and the offense will be needed more than a week ago when the Irish went up 21-0 before running a single offensive play, and Notre Dame should still have plenty of offensive success
- Matchup: Notre Dame vs. Stanford
- Date/Time: Saturday, November 29 at 10:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
- TV: ESPN
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
