Today's SEC slate sees two teams hoping to keep their bowl game hopes alive when the Florida Gators travel to Lexington to face the Kentucky Wildcats.
With both teams sitting at 3-5, a loss here would all but end hopes of a 13th game for both squads, and my Florida vs. Kentucky predictions are high on Wildcats WR Kendrick Law to do his part for the home squad.
Read on for my free college football picks on Saturday, November 8.
Want to make sure Covers shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed?
Simply click here and add Covers as one of your "source preferences".
Florida vs Kentucky prediction
Florida vs Kentucky best bet: Kendrick Law Over 37.5 receiving yards (-114)
Kendrick Law leads the Kentucky Wildcats in receiving yards, despite having just 351 on the season. But he’s racked up 377 yards after the catch.
Yeah, you read that right. The man has more yards after catch this season than actual receiving yards. That’s in large part because of his electrifying speed, but also because the Wildcats are just trying to get the ball into his hands without Cutter Boley having to force throws downfield.
Law has posted an average depth of target of less than four yards in three of his last four games, but has still managed 1.76 yards per route run. And if the ball gets to his hands, it’s getting caught—he’s dropped just one pass all season compared to 30 catches.
The Florida Gators have struggled to prevent yards after the catch all season. They’re allowing 4.20 YAC which ranks 115th nationally. It’s a big reason why they’re ranked 105th in yards allowed per pass.
Additionally, the Gators are allowing one of the highest ADOT in college football at 9.03 yards, and they’re not getting much pressure. This means Boley will have time to locate Law a bit further downfield, rather than simply hitting him on screens.
Law has 40+ receiving yards in four of his last five games. Back him to reach that floor once again.
Florida vs Kentucky same-game parlay
Florida WR J. Michael Sturdivant had three straight 40+ yard outings before a quiet game vs. Georgia. The Wildcats rank 104th in success rate against the pass and 116th in YAC allowed, and I expect Sturdivant to get back on track.
Florida’s defense held Georgia to 24 points last week and has done well against the run, ranking 24th in EPA/rush and ninth in tackle rate. Kentucky already struggles to put together drives and will fall behind the chains often.
The Gators rank 10th in red zone scoring rate on offense and 29th on defense. The Wildcats rank 90th and 83rd, respectively, in those same metrics. Florida will find more scoring success and cover the number.
Florida vs Kentucky SGP
- Kendrick Law Over 37.5 receiving yards
- J. Michael Sturdivant Over 39.5 receiving yards
- Florida -3.5
Our deep-ball SGP: Slowing things down to a crawl
Both teams also rank 95th or worse in EPA/play on offense, and Kentucky loves to turn games into complete slogs. The Wildcats beat Auburn 10-3 last weekend and will want a similar game here. The Under is 10-3 in Florida’s last 13, and five of its last seven have gone Under this week’s total.
Florida vs Kentucky SGP
- Kendrick Law Over 37.5 receiving yards
- J. Michael Sturdivant Over 39.5 receiving yards
- Florida -3.5
- Under 44.5
Florida vs Kentucky odds
- Spread: Florida -3.5 (-104) | Kentucky +3.5 (-118)
- Moneyline: Florida -154 | Kentucky +130
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-112) | Under 44.5 (-108)
Florida vs Kentucky trend to know
Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Florida vs Kentucky.
How to watch Florida vs Kentucky
| Location | Kroger Field, Lexington, KY |
| Date | Saturday, November 8, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | SEC Network |
Florida vs Kentucky latest injuries
Florida vs Kentucky weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
