Zach Edey Props & Odds: Purdue Star Powers Up vs UConn

It's the biggest stage of all for one of the biggest men and Zach Edey will play up to both his size and reputation as his Purdue Boilermakers face the UConn Huskies in tonight's National Championship Game. Here are our favorite Edey-based props.

Apr 8, 2024 • 10:12 ET • 4 min read
Zach Edey Purdue Boilermakers NCAAB College Basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Boilermakers face the UConn Huskies for the national title tonight. The Boilermakers are led by two-time National Player of the Year Zach Edey and nothing would cap off his historic college career more than leading Purdue to its first championship in school history. 

Edey's odds and player props have seen some massive totals due to his dominance but our March Madness picks are getting slightly lower numbers for this matchup against an elite Huskies defense anchored by a massive center of their own. 

I break down the college basketball odds and bring you my best free Zach Edey player props as part of our Purdue vs. UConn predictions for the National Championship Game on Monday, April 8.

For more, don't forget to consult our Purdue vs. UConn props as well.

Zach Edey player props vs UConn

Picks made on April 8 at 10 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

Best college basketball bonuses

DraftKings All Users
Get one no-sweat CBB bet
Bonus bets back if you lose! Claim Now

bet365 All Users
Instant payout for CBB moneylines
If your team goes up by 15! Claim Now

Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2024.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Zach Edey props

Prop bet #1: Letting Edey eat

This number opened at 23.5 and has moved to 24.5 but can still be grabbed at the slightly lower number at certain books. I obviously prefer the lower number but would also be willing to play the Over 24.5. After all, Edey has eclipsed that number in 10 of his last 12 games and is averaging 28.5 points per game on 64.5% shooting during that span. There are reasons to consider the Under since the Huskies have a terrific defense, play at an extremely slow pace, and also have Donovan Clingan, who is a strong interior defender. And at 7-foot-2 and 280 pounds, he actually has the size and mobility to compete with the 7-foot-4, 300-pound Edey. 

However, Edey should still surpass his points total based on sheer volume alone. Keep in mind that while he leads the country with 24.9 ppg on the season, that number is a bit suppressed due to blowout wins where he saw limited playing time or contests where he got into foul trouble. He's barely come off the floor in the last few rounds, missing a total of just three minutes in the last three games. He's also seen his usage rate rise against top competition when the Boilermakers need him to carry their offense. 

He dropped 40 points against an elite Tennessee defense in the Elite Eight and scored 35 against Alabama earlier this season. He also scored 25+ points in a total of six games against Marquette, Gonzaga, and Wisconsin. The Huskies play tough perimeter defense and their long guards will make it tough for Purdue's backcourt to get open looks. That should encourage them to force the ball to their dominant big man as much as possible.

Edey might not be his incredibly efficient self, but he should play enough minutes and take enough shots to surpass this number

Points prop: Over 23.5 points (-120 at FanDuel)

Prop bet #2: Step back in the paint

As efficient as these offenses have been, this game has a modest total of 145.5 due to the slower pace that both teams prefer. The Boilermakers are 244th in average time of possession on offense (18.0 seconds) while the Huskies are 294th (18.5).

Combine that sluggish tempo with accurate shooting and a pair of defenses that don't pressure ball-handlers, and we'll see a lower number of available rebounds in this contest. That's not even getting into the fact that UConn is fourth in the country in rebounding rate (56.4%), which is nearly at Purdue's level (first at 58.3%). 

In the Final Four, Edey finished with 12 rebounds in 40 minutes against a far worse rebounding NC State squad that couldn't box out on defense. If he couldn't eclipse 12 rebounds in that matchup, it doesn't seem likely that he'll go Over that number against UConn.

Rebounds prop: Under 12. 5 rebounds (-115 at bet365)

Prop bet #3: Hands like glue

Although Edey was productive against NC State on Saturday, he also turned the ball over five times. However, many of those turnovers happened when the Wolfpack double-teamed him and help defenders like Ben Middlebrooks were digging for the ball. Expect the Huskies to be more comfortable using Clingan to body up against Edey one-on-one, which will result in fewer ball-handling flubs from the Purdue big man. 

Keep in mind that Edey usually does a much better job of taking care of the ball and has fewer than three turnovers in eight of his last 12 games. The Huskies also don't apply much ball pressure and rank 251st in opponent turnover rate (15.6%) with that number ticking down to 13.8% since the start of the Big East Tournament.

Turnover prop: Under 2.5 turnovers (-115 at DraftKings)

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site

Play at Pinnacle: Offering 25 + years of betting experience

Make your March Madness wagers at Pinnacle, which offers Canadians unbeatable value with the most competitive odds in the industry and high limits — come find out why Pinnacle is home to better odds and better payouts!

Pages related to this topic

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo