Vanderbilt vs Georgia SEC Tournament Picks and Predictions: Dogging the Spread

One of the worst Power Six programs in the country takes to the floor for likely the final time this college basketball season on Wednesday night as the Georgia Bulldogs face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores.

It's the opening round of the SEC Tournament, and despite entering as the No. 11 seed, college basketball betting lines opened with the Commodores as significant 9-point favorites against the last-place Bulldogs. 

Here are our best free Georgia vs. Vanderbilt college basketball picks and predictions for Wednesday, March 9.  

Vanderbilt vs Georgia odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The line for this game opened with Vanderbilt at -9.5 with the Over/Under at 144.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Vanderbilt vs Georgia predictions

• Prediction: Vanderbilt -9 (-110)
• Prediction: Over 144.5 (-110)
• Best bet: Georgia TT Over 67.5 (-120)

Predictions made on 3/08/2022 at 4:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Vanderbilt vs Georgia game info

• Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
• Date: Wednesday, March 9, 2022
• Tip-off: 8:00 p.m. ET
• TV: SEC Network

Vanderbilt at Georgia betting preview

Injuries

Vanderbilt: Jamaine Mann G (Out), Rodney Chatman G (Questionable).
Georgia: Jailyn Ingram F (Out), P.J. Horne F (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Find more NCAA betting trends for Vanderbilt vs. Georgia.

Vanderbilt vs Georgia picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

Karma has decided that Georgia's college football dominance this year must be offset with the ugliest hoops season in recent memory as the Bulldogs finished with a 1-17 record (7-11 ATS) in conference play. Georgia is one of the worst teams in the country thanks to an awful defense that surrenders 78.3 points per game on 47.4% shooting, with both numbers ranking well outside the Top 300. 

However, they haven't been that bad on offense, where they rank 148th in the nation with a 44.6 FG% and have three players scoring in double-digits including big man Braelen Bridges, who averages 12.8 ppg on a conference-best 64.2 FG%. 

The Commodores have been the opposite, playing half-decent ball on the defensive end of the court (limiting foes to a 42.5 FG%) but struggling on offense by ranking 275th in the country with a 42.3 FG%.

Vandy is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games, and while the Commodores didn't cover as 9-point home faves versus UGA on January 29, they did have a 13-point lead with just two minutes left in the game. 

The Commodores didn't have many victories down the stretch but they kept things close against some very tough opponents. And getting seven-foot center Liam Robbins back on the court in February gave them some much-needed size down low.

With the Bulldogs going just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games, and all of those defeats coming by double-digits, we're leaning towards the faves on Wednesday. 

Prediction: Vanderbilt -9 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

With their competent offense and brutal defensive play, the Bulldogs have been a profitable play for Over bettors, going 6-1 O/U in their last seven games. The Commodores have also been a good Over play, going above the total in nine of their previous 11 contests. 

While they haven't always been the best shooting team this season, they have played well against Georgia's soft defense. The Commodores shot 51% from the field in an 85-77 shootout win against Georgia on January 29 and dropped 73 points on 48 FG% in Athens two weeks earlier, despite Scotty Pippen Jr. going an uncharacteristic 3-12 from the field.

Pippen is a stat-stuffer that is averaging 20.5 points and 4.2 assists per game, and if he can find his rhythm, Vandy's offense will hum. 

Prediction: Over 144.5 (-110)

Best bet

As bad as the Bulldogs are, their offensive play has been steady. The O/U on their team total is set at 67.5 for this contest, a number they have surpassed in five straight games.

In addition to Bridges inside, the Dawgs have guard Kario Ocquendo who leads the school with 15.4 ppg, while Gonzaga transfer Aaron Cook Jr runs the show with 5.4 assists per game. 

With those three firing on all cylinders, the Bulldogs dropped 77 points on a sizzling 62.5% shooting from two-point range when these schools previously met up. With the Commodores surrendering at least 73 points in five of their last seven games, we're taking the Over on Georgia's team total.

Pick: Georgia Team Total Over 67.5 (-120)

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