The No. 1-ranked Duke Blue Devils wrap up their regular season by hosting the No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels tonight.
My North Carolina vs. Duke predictions are backing Blue Devils sharpshooter Isaiah Evans to have a big game from the arc.
Here are my best free college basketball picks for Saturday, March 7.
North Carolina vs Duke prediction
North Carolina vs Duke best bet: Isaiah Evans Over 2.5 threes (+130)
Isaiah Evans is Duke’s second-leading scorer at 14.6 ppg, averaging 2.6 threes per game.
Since Duke's loss to North Carolina last month, Evans has knocked down 3+ triples in five of seven games while shooting 47.2% from deep over that span.
UNC ranks dead-last in conference play in 3-point defense (38.6%), with that number ballooning to an even uglier 43.3% on the road.
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North Carolina vs Duke same-game parlay
Since I’m backing Evans on his threes prop, it makes sense to parlay the Over assists for Cameron Boozer. He’s handed out at least four dimes in 12 of his last 17 games and does a great job kicking the ball out to perimeter shooters when defenses collapse on him.
The Tar Heels scored 71 points in the previous clash, but that was at home with 23 points from star forward Caleb Wilson (19.8 ppg, 58 FG%), who is now out for the season.
Their offense has sputtered without Wilson over the past few weeks, and they’ll struggle to score against Duke, which ranks first in the country in adjusted defense and can slow opponents to a crawl.
North Carolina vs Duke SGP
- Isaiah Evans Over 2.5 threes
- Cameron Boozer Over 3.5 assists
- North Carolina team total Under 64.5
Our beyond the arc SGP: Duke Domination
I’m expecting domination from the top-ranked team in the country in a revenge spot, so let’s add Dame Sarr’s rebounds prop to the mix.
The athletic wing is coming off a nine-rebound performance and grabbed six boards in the previous meeting with UNC.
North Carolina vs Duke SGP
- Isaiah Evans Over 2.5 threes
- Cameron Boozer Over 3.5 assists
- North Carolina team total Under 64.5
- Dame Sarr Over 4.5 rebounds
North Carolina vs Duke odds
- Spread: North Carolina +17.5 (-110) | Duke -17.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: North Carolina +1500 | Duke -3500
- Over/Under: Over 146.5 (-110) | Under 146.5 (-110)
North Carolina vs Duke betting trend to know
The Blue Devils have held 12 of their last 14 opponents below their team total. Find more college basketball betting trends for North Carolina vs. Duke.
How to watch North Carolina vs Duke
| Location | Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC |
| Date | Saturday, March 7, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
North Carolina vs Duke key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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