The No. 25-ranked Tennessee Volunteers welcome the Mississippi Rebels to the Food City Center tonight.
The Vols are 11-1 at home, and my Mississippi vs. Tennessee predictions expect their elite defense to shut down a sluggish Rebels attack. Here are my best free college basketball picks for this SEC clash on Tuesday, February 3.
Mississippi vs Tennessee prediction
Mississippi vs Tennessee best bet: Mississippi team total Under 64.5 (-120)
The Tennessee Volunteers rank 14th in the country in adjusted defense and are coming off a win where they held a highly efficient Auburn offense to 69 points. The Vols are 27th in opponent eFG% (46.7%), with that number improving to 43.4% at home.
Meanwhile, the Mississippi Rebels rank 223rd in eFG% (50.2%), and that has dropped to 47.9% in conference play.
The Rebels also sit outside the Top 300 in adjusted tempo and have been held below 69 points in four straight. And that's despite facing teams that play significantly faster than Tennessee and are worse defensively.
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Mississippi vs Tennessee same-game parlay
Rebels forward Malik Dia has logged fewer than 6.5 boards in six of his last eight games, and the Vols are fourth in the country in rebound rate.
Tennessee forward Nate Ament has dropped 19+ points in four of his last five. The five-star freshman hasn't been shooting well from deep, but he does a great job getting to the line, and Mississippi is dead last in SEC play in opponent free-throw rate.
Mississippi vs Tennessee SGP
- Mississippi team total Under 64.5
- Malik Dia Under 6.5 rebounds
- Nate Ament Over 17.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Nate the great
Let's add the Over 6.5 rebounds prop for Ament, who is coming off an eight-board performance and has cleared this number in three of his last five games.
Mississippi vs Tennessee SGP
- Mississippi team total Under 64.5
- Malik Dia Under 6.5 rebounds
- Nate Ament Over 17.5 points
- Nate Ament Over 6.5 rebounds
Mississippi vs Tennessee odds
- Spread: Mississippi +12 | Tennessee -12
- Moneyline: Mississippi +575 | Tennessee -850
- Over/Under: Over 140.5 | Under 140.5
Mississippi vs Tennessee betting trend to know
The Rebels have gone Under their team total in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Mississippi vs. Tennessee.
How to watch Mississippi vs Tennessee
| Location | Food City Center, Knoxville, TN |
| Date | Tuesday, February 3, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
Mississippi vs Tennessee key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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