Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Miami (OH) is making waves with its unbeaten record and spot in the national polls. All that attention is puffing up the point spread for the RedHawks' trip to Western Michigan, where the Broncos are one of the best home bets in the MAC.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 27, 2026 • 09:42 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 6 hrs
M-OH
50 %
WMU
50 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Western Michigan +12.0 (-116) Western Michigan +12.0 (-116)
Read Analysis
Western Michigan Broncos Jayden Brewer NCAAM
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Western Michigan Broncos guard Jayden Brewer in college hoops action.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks are three wins away from a perfect 31-0 season, yet their March Madness hopes may hinge on winning the MAC tournament.

Without a conference tournament title, the RedHawks will be at the mercy of the selection committee, and scoring an at-large bid to the Big Dance will require “style points” in the final days of MAC-tion.

Miami (OH) took down WMU 87-76 at home back in early January, but fell short of the 14.5-point spread. The RedHawks are once again facing a mountain of points as visitors in Kalamazoo. 

All that tourney chatter and the pressure to be perfect plus a brighter national spotlight — and the inflated lines that come with it — has my Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan predictions and college basketball picks fading the No. 21 team in the country.

Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan prediction

Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan best bet: Western Michigan +12 (-116)

The Western Michigan Broncos haven't had much to play for and have been running uphill for about a month, with six of their past eight games played away from home. 

The Broncos recorded just their fourth win of the season at Bowling Green (+11.5) on Tuesday, so this homestand versus the mighty Miami (OH) RedHawks will serve as WMU’s de facto championship — hoping to wreck the RedHawks' run.

Western Michigan is much stronger in Kalamazoo, with an average margin of +1.5 compared to -12.2 as a visitor. That’s helped the Broncos to a 7-4 ATS mark as hosts.

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Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan same-game parlay

The Broncos’ recent results are skewed due to that road-heavy schedule. Western Michigan is much stronger at home and Miami (OH) has a number of distractions, including their March Madness fate and a look-ahead spot to a huge matchup with Toledo next week. 

This will be the second road game in four days for Miami (OH) and its third away tilt in four games over an 11-day period. 

Miami (OH) can fill it up with an up-tempo attack that gets to the rim and knocks down triples. Western Michigan isn’t on the same level but does score almost seven more points per game at home and played Over in six of the past eight outings.

Game projections sit as high as 166 points.

Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan SGP

  • Western Michigan +12
  • Over 161.5

Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan odds

  • Spread: Miami (OH) -12 | Western Michigan +12
  • Moneyline: Miami (OH) -800 | Western Michigan +550
  • Over/Under: Over 161.5 | Under 161.5

Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan betting trend to know

Western Michigan is 7-4 ATS with a +1.5 average margin at home this season. Find more college basketball betting trends for Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan.

How to watch Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan

Location University Arena, Kalamazoo, MI
Date Friday, February 27, 2026
Tip-off 6:00 p.m. ET
TV CBSSN

Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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