March Madness Cheat Sheet: 3 Things You Need to Know About Every Team

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 17, 2026 , 03:15 PM ET • 4 min read

Everything bettors need to know about all 68 teams — key stats, strengths, weaknesses, and the trends that actually matter before making bets and filling out your March Madness bracket.

Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) looks to pass as Purdue Boilermakers guard Gicarri Harris (24) defends.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) looks to pass as Purdue Boilermakers guard Gicarri Harris (24) defends.

March Madness is finally here, and it can be a bit overwhelming to make college basketball picks with 68 teams taking the stage for three weeks of chaos, especially if you haven't been closely following the entire season or paying attention to mid-major and low-major conferences.

We've got you covered with the three things you need to know about every team in March Madness before you fill out your March Madness brackets


🔑 Key March Madness Trends

  • Purdue coach Matt Painter has gone 17-8 ATS as a favorite while going 22-7 ATS in the first two rounds.
  • UConn has gone 17-3 ATS in the NCAA Tournament under Dan Hurley. 
  • Tennessee coach Rick Barnes is 24-38 ATS in the NCAA Tournament (18-28 first weekend).
  • Michigan is just 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.

East Region cheat sheet

1. Duke Duke Blue Devils: 32-2, KenPom No. 1

Duke is led by Wooden Award favorite Cameron Boozer (22.5 ppg, 10.2 rpg, 4.2 apg) and is one of just two teams in the Top-5 in adjusted offense (4th) and adjusted defense (2nd) at KenPom.

The Blue Devils lost starting guard Caleb Foster to a season-ending injury two weeks ago. Still, center Patrick Ngongba II is expected to return after missing the ACC tourney with a foot injury. 

📉 Trend: The Blue Devils are 11-3 to the Under in games against ranked opponents. 

16. Siena Siena Saints: 23-11, KenPom No. 192

Siena has made a remarkable turnaround under second-year coach Gerry McNamara, jumping from four wins in 2024 to a 14-18 record last year, to the MAAC title. 

When the Saints fall behind, they can't catch up since they play at a sluggish tempo and sit well outside the Top 300 in 3-point rate and 3PT% (30.4%).

📉 Trend: The Saints made a run in the MAAC Tournament, but had gone just 3-4 SU and ATS in their last seven regular-season games.


8. Ohio State Ohio State Buckeyes: 21-12, KenPom No. 26

Ohio State's attack is spearheaded by the backcourt duo of Bruce Thornton (20.2 ppg, 3.9 apg, 40 3PT%) and John Mobley Jr. (15.7 ppg, 41.8 3PT%).

The Buckeyes are 10th in the country in eFG% (60%) at home, but that number plummets to 52.9% in away and neutral site games. 

📉 Trend: The Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games. 

9. TCU TCU Horned Frogs: 22-11, KenPom No. 43

This is Jamie Dixon's 10th year leading the program, and the former National Coach of the Year emphasizes hard-nosed defense with an offense that thrives in transition. 

TCU excels at forcing pressure, ranking 31st in the country in opponent TO rate and 22nd in adjusted defense. 

📉 Trend: The Horned Frogs are 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games


5. St. John's St. John's Red Storm: 28-6, KenPom No. 17

Rick Pitino's squad looks underseeded after winning the Big East regular season title and conference tournament championship. 

St. John's offense excels at getting to the line and generating second chances on the glass, while the defense forces turnovers at the 37th-highest rate in the country. 

📉 Trend: The Johnnies are 19-1 SU and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.

12. Northern Iowa Northern Iowa Panthers: 23-12, KenPom No. 72

Northern Iowa went 11-9 in conference play during the regular season before catching fire in the MVC Tournament. 

UNI matches up well against the Johnnies' strengths, sitting in the Top 50 in turnover rate, opponent FT rate, and defensive rebounding rate.

📉 Trend: The Panthers have yet to face a power conference opponent this season. 5-2 ATS as underdogs


4. Kansas Kansas Jayhawks: 23-10, KenPom No. 21

The Kansas Jayhawks are led by projected first pick overall Darryn Peterson (19.8 ppg), who finally looks healthy after missing 11 games earlier this season. 

Since the start of February, the Jayhawks are just 343rd in the country in eFG% (46.4%) while ranking 222nd in turnover rate. 

📉 Trend: With an elite defense and inconsistent offense, the Jayhawks are 22-11 to the Under this season. 

13. Cal Baptist Cal Baptist Lancers: 25-8, KenPom No. 106

Cal Baptist is led by WAC Player of the Year Dominique Daniels Jr., who ranks fifth in the country in scoring (23.2 ppg). 

The Lancers are 15th in the country in opponent eFG% (46.4%) but sit outside the top 300 in eFG% (48.6%) themselves. 

📉 Trend: Played three straight games against Big 12 opponents in December, losing competitive games at Utah and Colorado while getting blown out 91-60 versus BYU. 


6. Louisvilla Louisville Cardinals: 23-10, KenPom No. 19

Louisville is one of just eight teams in the country that are in the Top 25 in adjusted offense (19th) and adjusted defense (25th) at KenPom.

Star point guard Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 ppg, 4.7 apg) has missed 12 games due to a lingering back issue but will play in the tournament. 

📉 Trend: The Cardinals are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games

11. South Florida South Florida Bulls: 25-8, KenPom No. 47

South Florida has five players averaging double digits in points, led by Wes Enis (16.8 ppg) and American Conference Player of the Year Izaiyah Nelson (15.7 ppg, 9.6 rpg). 

USF's offense does a great job getting to the line and generating second chances on the glass, while the defense ranks 25th in opponent 2PT% (46.7%).

📉 Trend: The Bulls enter the NCAA Tournament on an 11-game win streak and have gone 8-3 ATS during that span. 

3. Michigan State Michigan State Spartans: 25-7, KenPom No. 9

This is the 28th consecutive season Michigan State has made the NCAA Tournament under Tom Izzo, going 59-26 with 16 trips to the Sweet 16 and eight Final Four appearances. 32-20-2 ATS as a fave.

Despite being led by Div 1 assists leader Jeremy Fears (9.2 apg), Michigan State sits outside the Top 200 in turnover rate. 

📉 Trend: The Spartans rank 13th adjusted defense but have gone 10-2 O/U in their last 12 games while surrendering more than 85 points in their last three. 

14. North Dakota State North Dakota State Bison: 27-7, KenPom No. 113

North Dakota State has a balanced squad that ranks 124th in the country in both adjusted offense and adjusted defense. 

The Bison haven't faced an opponent in the Top 100 at KenPom, and the only teams they faced in the Top 150 (UC Irvine and St. Thomas) they lost against. 

📉 Trend: The Bison have gone 11-4 to the Under in their last 15 games. 


7. UCLA UCLA Bruins: 23-11, KenPom No. 27

UCLA point guard Donovan Dent (13.5 ppg, 7.6 apg) has racked up 78 assists with just six turnovers over the last eight games.

Leading scorer Tyler Bilodeau (17.6 ppg, 51.8 FG%) is expected to return to the lineup after missing the Big Ten semis with a knee sprain.

The Bruins are in the Top 20 in turnover rate and 3-point percentage (38.2%).

📉 Trend: The Bruins are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games with wins against ranked Illinois, Nebraska, and Michigan State. 

10. UCF UCF Knights: 21-11, KenPom No. 54

UCF has an up-tempo attack led by guards Riley Kugel (14.4 ppg) and Themus Fulks (14.1 ppg, 6.7 apg).

Since the start of January, the Knights are 221st in the country in eFG% (50.5%) while ranking 288th in opponent eFG% (54%). 

📉 Trend: The Knights are 4-7 SU and ATS in their last 11 games. 


2. UConn UConn Huskies: 29-5, KenPom No. 11

UConn is extremely experienced with depth and balance, ranking 34th in the country in eFG% (55.3%) and ninth in opponent eFG% (45.7%). 

The Huskies sit outside the Top 300 in both free-throw rate (30%) and opponent FT rate (40.2%). 

📉 Trend: The Huskies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games this season, but have gone 17-3 ATS in the NCAA Tournament under Dan Hurley. 

15. Furman Furman Paladins: 22-12, KenPom No. 192

Furman has elite length and is led by 6-foot-5 guard Alex Wilkins (17.7 ppg, 4.7 apg), who has the seventh-highest usage rate in the country.

The Paladins went just 10-8 in the SoCon regular season before catching fire from deep in the conference tournament. 

📉 Trend: The Paladins previously made the NCAA Tournament in 2023 and stunned No. 4 seed Virginia in the first round. 


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West Region cheat sheet

1. Arizona Arizona Wildcats: 32-2, KenPom No. 2

Arizona dominates both ends of the floor (fifth in adjusted offense and third in adjusted defense) and boasts seven players averaging more than 9.0 ppg. 

Arizona attempts threes at the fourth-lowest rate in the country, but stretches the floor by taking a high percentage of midrange shots. 

📉 Trend: The Wildcats are 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS against ranked opponents, the most wins in college basketball history.   

16. LIU LIU Sharks: 24-10, KenPom No. 216

The LIU Sharks have three players averaging more than 14.0 ppg, led by All-NEC guard Jamal Fuller (16.4 ppg on 53/44/77 shooting splits). 

LIU steamrolled the competition in the NEC, boasting the top defense and third-best offense in the conference. 

📉 Trend: The Under is 14-6 in the Sharks' last 20 games. 


8. Villanova Villanova: 24-8, KenPom No. 33

Villanova has five players averaging double-digits in points, with Tyler Perkins (13.7 ppg) and Duke Brennan (12.4 ppg) leading the way. 

Villanova's interior defense has been awful, ranking 281st in the country in opponent 2PT% (54.4%) and 266th in defensive rebounding rate since the start of January. 

📉 Trend: The Over is 14-5 in the Wildcats' last 19 games

9. Utah State Utah State: 28-6, KenPom No. 30

Utah State ranks 14th in the country in eFG% (56.6%) thanks to guards MJ Collins (17.6 ppg) and Mason Falslev (16.1 ppg).

The Aggies do a great job forcing turnovers and defending inside, but are vulnerable on the perimeter and the glass. 

📉 Trend: The Aggies have made five of the last six NCAA Tournaments but are just 1-5 SU and ATS in those appearances. 


5. Wisconsin Wisconsin Badgers: 24-10, KenPom No. 22

Wisconsin is led by the backcourt duo of Nick Boyd (20.8 ppg) and John Blackwell (19.2 ppg), who were third and seventh in the Big Ten in scoring. 

The Badgers limit mistakes, turning the ball over at the third-lowest rate in the country and ranking 12th in FT% (78.6%))

📉 Trend: The Badgers have five wins against teams currently ranked in the Top 10 at KenPom.

12. High Point High Point Panthers: 30-4, KenPom No. 92

High Point's efficient offense turns the ball over at the fifth-lowest rate in the country and ranks 32nd in 2PT% (57.1%). 

The Panthers have the weakest SOS of any team in the NCAA Tournament that isn't a No. 16 seed. 

📉 Trend: Has the longest active win streak in the NCAA at 14 games, and was favored by more than six points in all of those contests.


4. Arkansas Arkansas Razorbacks: 26-8, KenPom No. 15 

Arkansas has an up-tempo offense that has the lowest turnover rate in the country and shoots lights out from the perimeter (38.9%). 

Darius Acuff Jr. (22.9 ppg, 6.5 apg) is the latest freshman superstar guard under John Calipari and was named SEC Player of the Year. 

📉 Trend: Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)

13. Hawaii Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: 24-8, KenPom No. 108

Seven-foot center Isaac Johnson (14.1 ppg) anchors the frontcourt alongside a slew of other players 6-foot-8 and taller.   

Due to their imposing size, Hawai'i is 16th in the country in opponent eFG% (46.4%) and 10th in defensive rebounding rate. 

📉 Trend: Despite turnover issues and poor shooting, Hawaii pushes the pace and has gone Over its team total in 13 of the last 20 games. 


6. BYU BYU Cougars: 23-11, KenPom No. 23

Superstar freshman AJ Dybantsa leads the country with 25.3 ppg, and his usage rate has increased after Richie Saunders tore his ACL in February. 

Since the start of February, BYU ranks 238th in the country in defensive rebounding rate and 347th in opponent 3PT% (39.8%). 

📉 Trend: The Cougars are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at neutral site games this season. 

11. Texas Texas Longhorns: 18-14, KenPom No. 37

Dailyn Swain is the most efficient isolation scorer in the country and leads Texas in ppg (17.8), rpg (7.6), apg (3.4), and spg (1.7). 

The Longhorns are 13th in adjusted offense but rank just 112th in adjusted defense while allowing foes to shoot 36% from deep. 

📉 Trend: Six of the Longhorns' last seven opponents have gone Over their team total. 

11. NC State NC State Wolfpack: 20-13, KenPom No. 34 

The NC State Wolfpack are in the Top 10 in turnover rate and 3PT% (38.8%), with four players averaging more than 13.0 ppg. 

Since the start of February, NC State has been outside the Top 300 in opponent 2PT% (56.5), opponent 3PT% (40.1%), and defensive rebounding rate. 

📉 Trend: The Over is 14-4 in NC State's last 18 games. 


3. Gonzaga Gonzaga Bulldogs: 30-3, KenPom No.10

Gonzaga has an elite defense that ranks in the Top 20 in opponent eFG% (46.2%), opponent TO rate, and defensive rebounding rate. 

The Zags take care of the ball and shoot well at the rim, but do a poor job getting to the line and stretching the floor. 

📉 Trend: The Under is 13-2 in Gonzaga's last 15 games

14. Kennesaw State Kennesaw State: 21-13, KenPom No. 163

The Kennesaw State Owls overcame the indefinite suspension of leading scorer Simeon Cottle, with RJ Johnson averaging 18.7 ppg over the last 18 games. 

Kennesaw State gets to the line at the seventh-highest rate in the country, but also ranks 358th in opponent FT rate. 

📉 Trend: The Owls have cashed the Under in nine of their last 14 games. 


7. Miami Miami Hurricanes: 25-8, KenPom No. 31

After going just 7-24 last season, Miami has turned things around under first-year coach Jai Lucas and a completely revamped lineup. 

Led by forward Malik Reneau (18.8 ppg, 6.6 rpg), the Canes rank 29th in the country in 2PT% (57.3%) and 10th in rebounding rate.

📉 Trend: The Hurricanes are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games, with wins against Louisville, NC State, and North Carolina.  

10. Missouri Missouri Tigers: 20-12, KenPom No. 52

Forward Mark Mitchell (18.3 ppg, 55.1 FG%) anchors an offense that attacks the rim, gets to the line, and generates second chances on the glass.

Missouri's offense struggles with turnovers and free-throw accuracy (68.6 FT%), while the defense ranks 330th in opponent 3PT% (36.5%). 

📉 Trend: The Tigers have gone Over their team total in eight of their last 11 games. 


2. Purdue Purdue Boilermakers: 27-8, KenPom No. 8

With elite ball movement and the ability to shoot accurately from every spot on the floor, Purdue has the highest-rated offense in KenPom history.

The Boilermakers rank 232nd in opponent eFG% (52.3%), with that number ballooning to 56.2% in conference play. 

📉 Trend: Purdue coach Matt Painter has gone 17-8 ATS as a favorite while going 22-7 ATS in the first two rounds.

15. Queens Queens Royals: 21-13, KenPom No. 181

Queens has an up-tempo offense that ranks 15th in the country in eFG% (56.6%) and 17th in scoring (84.8 ppg).

However, the Royals also surrender 83.2 ppg and sit outside the Top 300 in opponent eFG% (54%) and defensive rebounding rate. 

📉 Trend: The Royals are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS against high-major opponents. And the only game they covered came by the hook.


South Region cheat sheet

1. Florida Florida Gators, 26-7, KenPom No. 4

The Florida Gators have a dominant frontcourt, which has helped them lead the nation in rebounding rate while ranking eighth in 2-point defense (45.2%).

Florida's new backcourt struggled massively with turnovers and 3-point shooting earlier in the season, but has improved both areas. 

📉 Trend: The Gators are 17-2 SU and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games.

16. Lehigh Lehigh Mountain Hawks: 18-16, KenPom No. 284

Navy dominated the Patriot League in the regular season, and Lehigh was fortunate not to play them since the Midshipmen were upset in the semifinals. 

The Hawks' biggest strength is their 3-point shooting (36.5 3PT%), and Nasir Whitlock led the conference with 21.0 ppg while shooting 44.5% from deep.

📉 Trend: Lehigh has covered the first-half spread in 15 of its last 20 games.

16. Prairie View A&M Prairie View A&M Panthers: 18-17, KenPom No. 288

Dontae Horne averages a team-high 20.2 ppg, and second-leading scorer Tai'Reon Joseph (18.2) returned in the SWAC tourney after missing three weeks.

Prairie View has an extremely small lineup and ranks just 336th in the country in rebounding rate. 

📉 Trend: The Panthers were just 4-8 in conference play a month ago, before going 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS down the stretch. 


8. Clemson Clemson Tigers: 24-10, KenPom No. 36

Clemson already lacked offensive firepower, and now will be without second-leading scorer Carter Welling, who tore his ACL in the conference tournament. 

The Tigers sit outside the Top 300 in adjusted tempo, and that, combined with their hard-nosed defense, has led to them allowing just 66.7 ppg. 

📉 Trend: The Under is 17-8 in Clemson's last 25 games.

9. Iowa Iowa Hawkeyes: 21-12, KenPom No. 25

After years of playing an up-tempo style with lax defense, Iowa morphed into a slow-paced, defensive-minded squad under new coach Ben McCollum. 

Bennett Stirtz (20.0 ppg, 4.5 apg) spearheads an offense that ranks 16th in eFG% (56.6%), while the defense forces turnovers at the 14th-highest rate. 

📉 Trend: The Hawkeyes are 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. 


5. Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Commodores: 26-8, KenPom No. 12

Vanderbilt came up short in the SEC final, but this is still a dangerous team that has beaten Florida, Alabama, Kentucky, and Tennessee (twice).

The Dores have an efficient offense that takes care of the ball and shots extremely well from the line and inside the arc. 

📉 Trend: The first half Under has cashed in 10 of Vanderbilt's last 14 games. 

12. McNeese McNeese State Cowboys: 28-5, KenPom No. 68

With first-year head coach Bill Armstrong taking over for Will Wade, McNeese State didn't skip a beat, going 20-2 in conference play. 

The Cowboys have a disruptive defense that leads the country in opponent TO rate while ranking 16th in block rate.

📉 Trend: McNeese State has won 22 of its last 25 games but is just 7-15 ATS during that span. 


4. Nebraska Nebraska Cornhuskers: 26-6, KenPom No. 14

Nebraska does a great job clogging the paint and forcing foes to the arc, where they rank seventh in the country in opponent 3PT% (29.9%)

The Huskers are extremely reliant on outside shots themselves, ranking 11th in 3-point rate and 299th in attacking the rim frequency. 

📉 Trend: After starting the season with an incredible 20-1 record, Nebraska has gone 6-5 SU and 4-7 ATS since February 1. 

13. Troy Troy Trojans: 22-11, KenPom No. 143

The Troy Trojans are a slow-paced team who defend the arc extremely well and attacks the offensive glass. 

Forwards Thomas Dowd (14.8 ppg, 10.1 rpg) and Victor Valdes (14.8 ppg, 4.6 apg) represented Troy on the All-Sun Belt Team.

📉 Trend: The Under is 10-2 in Troy's last 12 games, while the first half Under has cashed in 18 of the previous 25 contests.


6. UNC North Carolina Tar Heels: 24-8, KenPom No. 29

Since losing star forward Caleb Wilson on February 10, UNC is 50th in the country in adjusted offense and 49th in adjusted defense.

North Carolina does a poor job of rotating and contesting perimeter shooters, ranking 356th in opponent 3PT% (39.3%) since the start of the New Year. 

📉 Trend: The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS since Wilson got injured, and one of those ATS losses came by half a point. 

11. VCU VCU Rams: 27-7, KenPom No. 45

Sixth-man Terrance Hill Jr. leads VCU with 14.4 ppg while forward Lazar Djokovic is second in scoring (13.8 ppg) and first in rpg (5.6). 

VCU has a deep and balanced squad that does a great job getting to the line and shoots well from the arc (36.7 3PT%).

📉 Trend: The Rams have faced seven opponents in the Top 50 at KenPom and went 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in those games. 


3. Illinois Illinois Fighting Illini: 24-8, KenPom No. 7

Illinois is second in the country in adjusted offense and rarely turns the ball over while shooting 59% inside the arc. 

The Illini have the tallest team in the nation and rank seventh in rebounding rate while allowing the 12th fewest shots at the rim. 

📉 Trend: Illinois is 16-5 in its last 21 games, with four of those defeats coming in overtime. 

14. Penn Penn Quakers: 18-11, KenPom No. 150 

Penn upset Yale in the Ivy League finals thanks to 44 points from Former Duke five-star recruit TJ Power (16.8 ppg, 7.9 rpg).

The Quakers shoot a sizzling 38.7% from deep, but rank just 342nd in 2PT% (46.2%)

📉 Trend: The Quakers are 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in their last eight games. 


7. Saint Mary's Saint Mary's Gaels: 27-5, KenPom No. 24

Saint Mary's plays at a sluggish tempo and is known for its physical yet disciplined defense under long-time head coach Randy Bennett. 

The Gaels shoot poorly inside the arc, but shoot extremely well from deep (38.6 3PT%) and at the line (81.1 FT%) while attacking the offensive glass. 

📉 Trend: This is the fifth straight year that the Gaels have made the NCAA Tournament, and they made it past the first round in three of their last four appearances.

10. Texas A&M Texas A&M Aggies: 21-11, KenPom No. 39

Texas A&M has a deep and highly-experienced squad that shoots well from the arc (10.8 threes per game) and limits turnovers. 

Texas A&M's interior defense has been vulnerable, ranking 350th in defensive rebounding rate and 270th in opponent 2PT% since January 1. 

📉 Trend: The first half Under has cashed in 11 of Texas A&M's last 16 games.


2. Houston Houston Cougars: 28-6, KenPom No. 5

In what has become a staple of the Kevin Sampson era, Houston has a Top 5 defense and smothers opponents with ball pressure. 

The Cougars take care of the ball and generate extra chances on offense with freshman guard Kingston Flemings (16.4 ppg, 5.3 apg) running the show. 

📉 Trend: The Cougars are 20-12 to the Under as a favorite this season. 

15. Idaho Idaho Vandals: 21-14, KenPom No. 145

The Idaho Vandals were just a .500 team in conference play, but ramped up their play in the Big Sky Tournament. 

The Vandals are 63rd in the country in turnover rate while ranking fifth in defensive rebounding rate. 

📉 Trend: Idaho has gone Under its team total in 15 of its last 25 games. 


Midwest Region cheat sheet

1. Michigan Michigan Wolverines: 31-3, KenPom No. 3

Anchored by a trio of bigs in Yaxel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson, and Aday Mara, Michigan ranks fourth in 2PT% (61%) and opponent 2PT% (44.3%). 

Key reserve guard LJ Cason tore his ACL on February 27, putting more pressure on lead guard Elliot Cadeau and the bench. 

📉 Trend: The Wolverines destroyed teams early in the season but have struggled to cover the big spreads placed in front of them lately, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20. 

16. Howard Howard Bison: 23-10, KenPom No. 207

Howard is extremely undersized and is just 354th in height efficiency per KenPom, while Michigan ranks ninth. 

The Bison force turnovers at the eighth-highest rate in the country, but rank just 343rd in turnover rate themselves. 

📉 Trend: The Bison ran through the MEAC, going 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS with a margin of +22.1 in their last 11 conference games.

16. UMBC UMBC Retrievers: 24-8, KenPom No. 185

The UMBC Retrievers dominated the weak America East Conference, boasting the highest-rated offense and defense. 

UMBC is 0-5 SU and 2-3 ATS against teams in the KenPom Top 200, with a 25-point loss to USF and a 37-point loss to George Washington. 

📉 Trend: The Retrievers are 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games with an average margin of +16.8. 


8. Georgia Georgia Bulldogs: 22-10, KenPom No. 32

Jeremiah Wilkinson (17.0 ppg) spearheads a Georgia attack that ranks 16th in the country in adjusted offense and adjusted tempo. 

Since the start of January, the Bulldogs are 287th in the country in opponent eFG% (53.9%) and 362nd in defensive rebounding rate. 

📉 Trend: With that fast-paced offense and leaky defense, the Bulldogs are 6-2 to the Over in their last eight games. 

9. Georgia Saint Louis Billikens: 28-5, KenPom No. 41

Saint Louis has seven players averaging more than 9.0 ppg, with center Robbie Avila (12.9 ppg, 4.1 apg) the hub of their attack.  

Saint Louis is third in the country in eFG% (59.7%) while ranking second in opponent eFG% (44.8%). 

📉 Trend: After starting the season 24-1, the Billikens have gone 4-4 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. 


5. Texas Tech Texas Tech Red Raiders: 22-10, KenPom No. 20

The Texas Tech Red Raiders enter the tourney on a three-game skid and have really missed superstar forward JT Toppin (21.8 ppg, 10.8 rpg), who tore his ACL last month.

Texas Tech's offense was already very perimeter-oriented with Christian Anderson and Donovan Atwell, and that's become even more extreme without Toppin to attack inside. 

📉 Trend: The Under has cashed in eight of Texas Tech's last 11 games.  

12. Akron Akron Zips: 29-5, KenPom No. 64

For all the buzz around Miami-Ohio, Akron was the highest-rated team in the MAC in terms of analytics all season.

The Zips live up to their nickname with a fast-paced offense that ranks in the Top 15 in 2PT% (59.1%) and 3PT% (38.5%).  

📉 Trend: The Under is 12-4 in Akron's last 16 games. 


4. Alabama Alabama Crimson Tide: 23-9, KenPom No. 18

With a highly-efficient, up-tempo attack, Alabama leads the country in scoring (91.7 ppg) with Labaron Philon putting up 21.7 ppg and 4.7 apg. 

The Tide's blistering tempo and lax defense have resulted in them sitting outside the Top 350 in points (83.5) and rebounds allowed per game (40.0). 

📉 Trend: Eight of Alabama's last 12 opponents have gone Over their team total. 

13. Hofstra Hofstra Pride: 24-10, KenPom No. 87

Hofstra is led by CAA Player of the Year Cruz Davis (20.2 ppg, 4.6 apg) and conference Rookie of the Year Preston Edmead (15.9 ppg, 4.4 apg). 

The Pride began the season 13-4 (with wins at Pittsburgh and Syracuse) before losing five straight games in late January. 

📉 Trend: They rebounded from that skid to go 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.


6. Tennessee Tennessee Volunteers: 22-11, KenPom No. 16

Tennessee is 15th in the country in adjusted defense, but its ability to force turnovers and defend inside isn't on the same level as in previous seasons. 

Tennessee's offense is led by Ja'Kobi Gillespie (18.0 ppg) and five-star freshman Nate Ament (17.5 ppg), but the two combine to shoot just 40.5% from the floor. 

📉 Trend: Vols head coach Rick Barnes is 24-38 ATS in the NCAA Tournament while going 18-28 ATS in the first weekend. 

11. Miami (Ohio) Miami (Ohio) RedHawks: 31-1, KenPom No. 93

The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks like to push the pace and are second in the country in 2PT% (61.5%) while ranking 22nd in 3PT% (37.5%).

Miami controversially earned an at-large bid despite playing a soft schedule that didn't include a single Quad 1 game. 

📉 Trend: Even before getting upset by UMass in the MAC Tournament, Miami looked vulnerable, closing the regular season with three straight razor-close wins.  

11. SMU SMU Mustangs: 20-13, KenPom No. 42

SMU lost four of its last five games with BJ Edwards (12.7 ppg, 4.9 apg) sidelined, but the two-way stud is expected to return for the tournament. 

Edwards gives the Mustangs a talented and experienced backcourt alongside Boopie Miller (19.2 ppg, 6.4 apg) and Jaron Pierre Jr (17.6 ppg). 

📉 Trend: SMU has gone 16-4 SU as a favorite but is just 8-12 ATS in those games. 


3. Virginia Virginia Cavaliers: 29-5, KenPom No. 13

Under new head coach Ryan Odom, Virginia has morphed from one of the slowest offenses in the country to one that plays with tempo and averages 80.6 ppg. 

UVA is seventh in the country in opponent 2PT% (44.7%) thanks to seven-footers Johann Grunloh and Ugonna Onyenso protecting the rim. 

📉 Trend: The first half Under has cashed in six of Virginia's last seven games.   

14. Wright State Wright State: 23-11, KenPom No. 140

Wright State has the top-rated offense in the Horizon League, but was held below 70 points in its only two games against high-major foes (Cal and Butler).

Wright State ranks just 193rd in the country in adjusted defense while sitting outside the Top 200 in opponent eFG% (52.1%). 

📉 Trend: The Under is 7-4 in Wright State's last 11 games. 


7. Kentucky Kentucky Wildcats: 21-13, KenPom No. 28

Kentucky is led by two-time All-SEC guard Otega Oweh, who has averaged 20.7 ppg in conference play.

Kentucky ranks 27th in the country in adjusted defense and cuts its teeth against high-scoring attacks in the SEC. 

📉 Trend: The Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games, with the Over cashing in eight of those contests. 

10. Santa Clara Santa Clara Broncos: 26-8, KenPom No. 35

The Santa Clara Broncos earned an at-large bid with two wins against Saint Mary's and double-digit non-conference victories versus McNeese State, Xavier, Nevada, and Minnesota. 

Santa Clara has an efficient offense led by guard Christian Hammond (15.8 ppg, 40 3PT%) and freshman forward Allen Graves (11.6 ppg, 6.5 rpg). 

📉 Trend: The Broncos have gone Over their team total in 12 of their last 18 games.


2. Iowa State Iowa State Cyclones: 27-7, KenPom No. 6

Forward Joshua Jefferson averages 16.9 ppg, 7.6 rpg, and 4.9 apg, while Milan Momcilovic leads Iowa State with 17.1 ppg and drains 49.6% of his threes.  

With an impressive turnover margin and strong offensive rebounding, the Cyclones are fourth in the country in extra scoring chances per game (+7.1).

📉 Trend: The Under is 17-8 in Iowa State's last 25 games. 

15. Tennessee State Tennessee State Tigers: 23-9, KenPom No. 187

The Tennessee State Tigers led the OVC in eFG% (51.9%) and turnover rate (14.9%), but those numbers were much uglier in non-conference play (42.9 eFG% and 20.3 TO rate).

OVC Player of the Year Aaron Nkrumah (17.6 ppg, 2.8 spg) and guards Travis Harper II (17.3 ppg, 40.1 3PT%) spearhead the attack. 

📉 Trend: Despite pushing the pace, the Under has cashed in 10 of Tennessee State's last 15 games.


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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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