The Kentucky Wildcats need to pick up a win on Saturday against the Auburn Tigers to keep hopes of a Top 4 SEC finish alive.
Kentucky will need to continue its strong perimeter shooting to win at Neville Arena.
I explain why Collin Chandler should give them just that in my Kentucky vs. Auburn predictions and college basketball picks for February 21.
Kentucky vs Auburn prediction
Kentucky vs Auburn best bet: Collin Chandler Over 2.5 threes (+110)
Kentucky Wildcats guard Collin Chandler was incorrectly priced at +137 to make 3+ treys against Georgia. He knocked down six.
The market still hasn’t adjusted, so we’ll run it back against an Auburn Tigers defense allowing opponents to shoot 40% from deep since January 1.
Auburn has struggled to defend the perimeter all season, and Chandler’s locked in. He’s shooting 48.5% from downtown in SEC play, including 18 of 31 attempts in his last six games.
Chandler’s connected on 3+ from beyond the arc in four straight games. I can’t pass up plus-odds on him continuing that run against Auburn’s anemic perimeter defense.
Kentucky vs Auburn same-game parlay
Chandler’s outside shooting isn’t the only mispriced play I’ve located in this contest. We’re going to key on KeShawn Murphy’s rebounding total as well and back him to haul in at least nine.
During SEC play, Murphy’s pulling down offensive rebounds at a 14.5% clip while posting a defensive rebound rate of nearly 25%. He’s also grabbed double-digit boards in three of his last four games.
He should have a field day against a Kentucky team ranked 313th in defensive rebound rate since the calendar flipped to 2026.
Kentucky vs Auburn SGP
- Collin Chandler Over 2.5 threes
- KeShawn Murphy Over 8.5 rebounds
Our beyond the arc SGP: Long-Range Snipers!
Denzel Aberdeen should also find success from deep against Auburn. The guard is shooting 40% from beyond the arc outside of Rupp Arena, and has hit multiple threes in nine of his last 11 games.
Murphy’s rebounding should lead to points. He’s gotten to the FT line six times in three straight games, and will combine that with his second-chance opportunities to get 12+ points for the third time in four games.
Kentucky vs Auburn SGP
- Collin Chandler Over 2.5 threes
- Denzel Aberdeen Over 1.5 threes
- KeShawn Murphy Over 8.5 rebounds
- KeShawn Murphy Over 11.5 points
Kentucky vs Auburn odds
- Spread: Kentucky +3 (-110) | Auburn -3 (-110)
- Moneyline: Kentucky +150 | Auburn -180
- Over/Under: Over 157.5 (-110) | Under 157.5 (-110)
Kentucky vs Auburn betting trend to know
Auburn has hit the team total Over in 12 of its last 15 games at home (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Kentucky vs. Auburn.
How to watch Kentucky vs Auburn
| Location | Neville Arena, Auburn, AL |
| Date | Saturday, February 21, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Kentucky vs Auburn key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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