Thunder vs Suns Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 4

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 , 06:24 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's prediction: Dillon Brooks keeps shooting until his plane leaves for the beach.

NBA

Match starts: 25 hrs
OKC
85 %
PHO
15 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Dillon Brooks o18.5  Points Scored (-105) Dillon Brooks o18.5 Points Scored (-105)
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Dillon Brooks Phoenix Suns NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Dillon Brooks shoots over Thunder center Chet Holmgren in what has been a lopsided series.

Some first-round series are better for being shorter.

No one needs to watch more games of the Oklahoma City Thunder walloping the Phoenix Suns.

My Thunder vs. Suns predictions have no faith in Phoenix, a doubt that is best encapsulated by ironically betting on one of its guards.

Read more in my NBA picks for Monday, April 27.

Thunder vs Suns prediction

Thunder vs Suns best bet: Dillon Brooks Over 18.5 points (-105)

While the Oklahoma City Thunder can probably start crafting their game plan for the Los Angeles Lakers, the Phoenix Suns should at least go down swinging.

Consider that a compliment.

Phoenix has been a delightful surprise this season. There is no shame in the No. 8 seed getting swept by the defending champions. 

However, there would be shame in not playing through the whistle.

If anyone can promise that effort until the final whistle — something the Denver Nuggets could clearly learn from — it is Dillon Brooks. The Brooks-related headline has been that he has scored 30+ points in each of his last two games, averaging 27 points per game in this series.

The actual stat to note is that he has taken at least 21 shots in each game of the series. Meanwhile, Devin Booker has not taken more than 17 shots in a game. Brooks has taken a total of 19 more shots than the Suns’ cornerstone has, a reality created intentionally by the Thunder.

No matter how much he might want to chuck, Booker simply doesn’t have those openings. Oklahoma City is quite content to let him heave.

Brooks’s volume has a competitive ceiling, while a fully-engaged Booker could tilt any game against any opponent. Expect that defensive blueprint to indulge Brooks one more time before his offseason commences.

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Thunder vs Suns same-game parlay

Booker dished out seven assists in Game 3 while taking only 16 shots. When one of the best pure scorers in the NBA goes just 6-for-16 from the field, it’s a clear reflection of the opposing defensive intention.

The five-time All-Star should lean even further into his playmaking; it may be frustrating to acquiesce to Oklahoma City’s defensive approach, but generating better looks for the Phoenix offense as a whole should take priority.

Doing so should give the Suns one last gasp before the beach nears.

Thunder vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 18.5 points
  • Devin Booker Over 5.5 assists
  • Suns 1H +6

Our "from downtown" SGP: 1, 2, 3, Cancun!

Consider this to be the tune of, “1, 2, 3 — slight pause — Cancun!”

In front of a home crowd with three shooters in the backcourt, the Suns should start Game 3 competitively... but when reality becomes inevitable, Phoenix’s focus and drive will wander.

Margaritas await.

Thunder vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 18.5 points
  • Suns 1H +6
  • Thunder -10.5

Thunder vs Suns odds for Game 4

  • Spread: Thunder -10.5 (-110) | Suns +10.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Thunder -500 | Suns +375
  • Over/Under: Over 213.5 (-110) | Under 213.5 (-110)

Thunder vs Suns betting trend to know

Across the last three years, Oklahoma City is 7-4 ATS in the first round. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Suns.

How to watch Thunder vs Suns Game 4

Location Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date Monday, April 27, 2026
Tip-off 9:30 p.m. ET
TV Peacock

Thunder vs Suns latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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