Kansas vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

The Jayhawks are 20-9 to the Under this season, and we’re expecting their elite defense to bounce back in Tempe.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Mar 3, 2026 • 15:01 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 4 hrs
KU
58 %
ASU
42 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u151.5 (-116)
Read Analysis
Kansas Jayhawks college basketball Flory Bidunga
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kansas Jayhawks big men Flory Bidunga and Bryson Tiller contest a shot.

The No. 14 Kansas Jayhawks are set to face off against the Arizona State Sun Devils tonight.

Both teams have been cashing Under bets all season, and my Kansas vs. Arizona State predictions expect those trends to continue. 

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this Big 12 clash on Tuesday, March 3.

Kansas vs Arizona State prediction

Kansas vs Arizona State best bet: Under 151.5 (-110)

After playing at a fast pace earlier in the season, the Arizona State Sun Devils are 242nd in the country in adjusted tempo since the start of February. That slower pace has helped the Under cash in eight of their last nine games.

The Sun Denils have an ugly 50 EFG% in conference play and will have a hard time scoring against the Kansas Jayhawks, who rank ninth in the country in adjusted defense and fifth in opponent eFG% (45%).

That said, the Jayhawks’ offense has underperformed away from home where they shoot just 48.6% from 2-point range.

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Kansas vs Arizona State same-game parlay

Kansas is in a bounce-back spot after getting clobbered by No. 2 Arizona over the weekend.

While the Jayhawks' offense hasn’t been strong on the road, a healthy Darryn Peterson should help them generate enough points to cover the spread — especially since ASU ranks 14th in the Big 12 in opponent eFG% (54.5%) in league play.

The Sun Devils also sit 13th in the conference in rebounding margin. Kansas center Flory Bidunga averages 9.0 rebounds per game and posted double-digit boards in five straight games before facing a pair of elite rebounding teams last week.

Kansas vs Arizona State SGP

  • Under 151.5
  • Kansas -6
  • Flory Bidunga Over 9.5 rebounds

Our beyond the arc SGP: Bidunga Bounces Back

Bidunga entered last week averaging 14.6 points per game on 66.4% shooting. However, he managed just six total points on 3-of-11 shooting against Houston and Arizona. 

The Jayhawks' big man should bounce back in a much easier matchup against Arizona State, who rank 282nd in rim defense per ShotQualityBets.

Kansas vs Arizona State SGP

  • Under 151.5
  • Kansas -6
  • Flory Bidunga Over 14.5 points
  • Flory Bidunga Over 9.5 rebounds

Kansas vs Arizona State odds

  • Spread: Kansas -6 (-110) | Arizona State +6 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Kansas -270 | Arizona State +220
  • Over/Under: Over 151.5 (-110) | Under 151.5 (-110)

Kansas vs Arizona State betting trend to know

The Jayhawks are 9-20 O/U this season, the highest Under rate (69%) among high-major schools. Find more college basketball betting trends for Kansas vs. Arizona State.

How to watch Kansas vs Arizona State

Location Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ
Date Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV FS1

Kansas vs Arizona State key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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