Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's SEC Tournament Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 12, 2026 , 10:44 AM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's Prediction: Auburn's bubble hopes are in Tahaad Pettiford's hands.

NCAAB

Match starts: 1 hrs
AUB
46 %
TENN
54 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Tahaad Pettiford o14.5  Points (-120) Tahaad Pettiford o14.5 Points (-120)
Read Analysis
Tahaad Pettiford Auburn Tigers college basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Tahaad Pettiford directs Auburn's offense last month.

The bubble picture became clearer for the Auburn Tigers on Wednesday. Beat the Tennessee Volunteers this afternoon, and the Tigers should be in the NCAA Tournament.

My Auburn vs. Tennessee predictions and these college basketball picks trust the Tigers’ best player to keep this close on Thursday, March 12.

Auburn vs Tennessee prediction

Auburn vs Tennessee best bet

Auburn vs Tennessee best bet: Tahaad Pettiford Over 14.5 Points (-120)

Win, and you’re in, Auburn Tigers. It may be that simple.

Betting on that is a bit too bold, given the Tennessee Volunteers have a rest advantage and the better defense, but the stakes should embolden Auburn’s best player, point guard Tahaad Pettiford.

Pettiford is typically more of a facilitator than a scorer, yet he has cleared this prop in three of his last four games and seven of his last 10. As Tennessee slows down this game, Pettiford will have fewer assist opportunities in transition, which should force him to pull up more on his own.

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Auburn vs Tennessee same-game parlay

The instinct was to doubt Pettiford’s assist numbers, too, but this prop is too low for such doubt. He should play increased minutes today with the ball in his hand nearly every possession. That trust in him should keep the Tigers in a tight game.

Auburn vs Tennessee SGP

  • Tahaad Pettiford Over 14.5 points
  • Tahaad Pettiford Over 3.5 assists
  • Auburn +5.5

Our beyond the arc SGP: Slown Down, Tigers

Auburn’s best path to the NCAA Tournament is its offense, but allowing Tennessee to slow down the pace — the slowest tempo in the SEC, per kenpom.com — could keep this game close enough that the optics alone sway the bubble debate.

Auburn vs Tennessee SGP

  • Tahaad Pettiford Over 14.5 points
  • Tahaad Pettiford Over 3.5 assists
  • Auburn +5.5
  • Under 146.5

Auburn vs Tennessee odds

  • Spread: Auburn +5.5 | Tennessee -5.5
  • Moneyline: Auburn +200 | Tennessee -245
  • Over/Under: Over 146.5 | Under 146.5

Auburn vs Tennessee betting trend to know

Four of Tennessee’s last five games and seven of its last nine have gone Under their totals. Find more college basketball betting trends for Auburn vs. Tennessee.

How to watch Auburn vs Tennessee

Location Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Date Thursday, March 12, 2026
Tip-off 3:00 p.m. ET
TV SEC Network

Auburn vs Tennessee key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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